Previous measure
Previous measure, August 20: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 20, 2026: 77.4% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 77.4%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 93,907
- Routes measured
- 131
Aug 20, 2026 to Aug 20, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-13–2026-08-13
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 12.7 °C to 24 °C
- Strongest gust
- Not available
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 98STO100%109 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 74STO99.1%108 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98.2%391 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO97.4%266 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 64STO94.4%1,601 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO93%919 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO91.8%2,770 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO91.3%2,093 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 68STO91.1%1,225 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO90.6%1,154 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 120%111 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1100%116 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 190%120 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 850%122 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1110%138 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 350%143 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 310%179 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 140%191 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 900%255 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 630.8%127 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.