Previous measure
Previous measure, August 19: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 19, 2026: 80.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 69,152
- Routes measured
- 105
Aug 19, 2026 to Aug 19, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-12–2026-08-12
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 5.1 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 14 °C to 24.8 °C
- Strongest gust
- 46 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 12 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 79STO98.2%274 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.2%1,555 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 97STO95.1%2,196 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO95%1,005 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 58STO94.9%274 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO94.7%898 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO94.2%137 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.6%188 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO93.1%619 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO92.8%1,290 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 1890%103 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 480%117 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 751.2%162 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11020.8%101 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 27STO37%219 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO42%143 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO48.4%252 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO57.8%1,828 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 29STO68.4%133 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 95STO71.3%495 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.