Previous measure
Previous measure, August 15: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 15, 2026: 72.1% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 72.1%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 45,869
- Routes measured
- 71
Aug 15, 2026 to Aug 15, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-08–2026-08-08
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
A matched difference is withheld: A comparison period is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. A comparison period is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 11.8 °C to 23.9 °C
- Strongest gust
- 33 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 69STO98.1%796 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 78STO97.8%650 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO97.1%416 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO94.9%1,205 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 66STO94.5%1,539 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO91.7%484 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 49STO90.2%2,129 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 97STO88.7%2,387 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 71STO88%1,012 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO87.9%173 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 630%116 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 618.5%195 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8525.4%197 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1136.4%209 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 31STO55.3%1,484 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 55STO60.7%4,253 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 59STO63.5%3,317 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 38STO63.8%1,921 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 400STO65.2%3,047 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3465.6%122 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.