Previous measure
Previous measure, August 10: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 10, 2026: 79.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 79.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 94,564
- Routes measured
- 87
Aug 10, 2026 to Aug 10, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-03–2026-08-03
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Rain 23.5 mm, Gusts to 89 km/h
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 23.5 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 16.4 °C to 26.1 °C
- Strongest gust
- 89 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 13 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 17397.2%747 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3596.7%866 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16595.8%262 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9395.2%538 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5895.1%594 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19894.1%135 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3893.8%824 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 13893.5%385 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9093.1%1,919 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 7493.1%1,038 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 6642.2%135 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1444.4%1,866 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2348.4%128 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 7355.6%745 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 959.9%761 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1760.3%131 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1860.3%1,480 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1360.5%243 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6360.6%1,723 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2061.8%1,364 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.