變更前
已核對的服務日期: 2026年10月26日
- 時刻表班次
- 9
- 不同的預定停靠站數量
- 85
- 已公布的不同路線
- 2
- 已公布的服務時段
- 06:26–18:16
Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed
資料串流指紋: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad
地圖
Previous measure: 81.5% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (6,536 arrivals over 18 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.
每 28 至 30 分鐘一班
Scheduled service and available evidence
Evidence period: 2026年10月28日 – 2026年11月3日
0
Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 2 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 2.
2
2 of 45 trips with a usable feed window (4.4%) had no matching position.
These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.
43 with position · 2 to investigate · 0 excluded · 45 scheduled trips
Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: 2026年11月4日 下午3:24.
0 of 5 endpoint departures scheduled in the next four hours carried an explicit cancellation at the last check.
0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.
Published position coverage: 43 / 45 (95.6%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.
Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.
Historical calculation: 2026年11月4日 下午2:19
Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.
Predictions against the timetable
81.5%
of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.
Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.
These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.
Calculated: 2026年11月4日
2 partial-capture days not counted.
7 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.
Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.
Last 28 days, 2026年10月7日 to 2026年11月3日: 26 days counted.
2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: 2026年10月8日, 2026年10月15日.
0% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 6 of 4,021 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.
0% of pairs (6) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.
| 時段 | 已檢查的配對 | 擠成一團 | 間隔過長 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 早上繁忙時段(上午 6 時至 9 時) | 1,352 | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
| 下午繁忙時段(下午3時至6時) | 2,477 | 0% (6) | 0% (6) |
| 晚間(下午 6 時至 10 時) | 192 | 0% (0) | 0% (0) |
Slowest: MACFARLANE / BRIGGS to HUNT CLUB / RIVERSIDE, 15.6 km/h actual against 15.9 km/h planned.
| 起點 | 目的地 | 距離 | 計劃速度 | 實際速度 | 已量測的行程 | 緩慢班次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MACFARLANE / BRIGGS | HUNT CLUB / RIVERSIDE | 3.6 km | 15.9 km/h | 15.6 km/h | 81 | 0% |
| HUNT CLUB / RIVERSIDE | MACFARLANE / MERIVALE | 3.8 km | 22.6 km/h | 23.8 km/h | 66 | 3% |
| BASELINE 1C | VAAN / WOODROFFE | 3 km | 25.9 km/h | 24.3 km/h | 71 | 4% |
| MACFARLANE / MERIVALE | VAAN / COLEWAY | 2.3 km | 25 km/h | 25.6 km/h | 65 | 5% |
| VAAN / WOODROFFE | MACFARLANE / BRIGGS | 2.6 km | 25.5 km/h | 26.6 km/h | 81 | 0% |
| HUNT CLUB / RIVERSIDE | SOUTH KEYS A | 4.1 km | 27 km/h | 29 km/h | 81 | 2% |
| GREENBORO B | HUNT CLUB / RIVERSIDE | 4.4 km | 36.5 km/h | 31.9 km/h | 67 | 9% |
慢速行程是指所需時間至少為計畫時間的 1.5 倍。
2 partial-capture days not counted.
1 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from 10月7日週三 to 11月3日週二.
Not counted: 5 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.
取消班次最多的時段: 下午3時 (1)
OC Transpo 不提供單一班次的原因,因此不顯示。
Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 2 of 45 trips we could check.
結論
Median provider predictions are 4.6 min later than the timetable in 1 hours of the day.
Wide prediction spread 15:00: the 95th percentile is 47.8 min later than the median.
08:00 has 53% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 79% the rest of the day.
Only 96% of scheduled trips were seen; the rest are not counted as missed.
| What | 時間 | 已測量 | Scenario or next investigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProblemPredictions later than timetable | 08:00 | 4.6 min late | More running time |
| ProblemWide prediction spread | 15:00 | 47.8 min swing | Operations, not the timetable |
| ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match | 08:00 | 53% | Operations, not the timetable |
| CaveatCoverage gap | All measured hours | 96% | More observation, not a service change |
路線檢查
這是我們所知內容的簡短摘要。如果無法回答某個問題,我們會說明。
重點結論
業者的預測通常與時刻表相近,但請查看下方有問題的時段。
82 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 6,536 predictions checked預測樣本數: 樣本較大
Based on 6,536 eligible provider predictions over 18 measured days, from 2026年10月6日 to 2026年11月3日.
Updated 2026年11月4日 下午2:32
這些是預測與班表之間反覆出現的差異,並非獨立測得的服務失誤。它們使用與上方結果相同的合格預測,但按站點而非時段分組,因此兩份清單不一定逐行相符。
目前沒有與此路線相符的官方通知。
各站的預測差異
36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (83 predictions over 21 days).
開啟此站牌36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (83 predictions over 21 days).
開啟此站牌36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (83 predictions over 21 days).
開啟此站牌36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (83 predictions over 21 days).
開啟此站牌這些是各路線業者提供的預測,並與時刻表比較。它們顯示某個地點和時段反覆出現的預測差異,不是實測的到站時間,也不能說明原因。
打開一個時段,即可查看每個服務日、預定班次、資料空檔、已觀察到的公開車輛編號,以及此摘要背後的確切數字。
時刻表變更檢查
此頁面比較目前保留的官方時刻表與先前保留的版本。時刻表變更只說明原本的計劃,不能證明某個班次已經行駛。
Current published schedule began 2026年10月30日
我們會檢查新時刻表開始後的第一個星期一,以及一週前的星期一。所有數字都來自下列保留的官方 GTFS 版本。
所選日期中,至少有一個日期有新增或取消的特定日期服務。請將此視為假日或特別服務的情況,而不是平日一般的服務增加。
已核對的服務日期: 2026年10月26日
Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed
資料串流指紋: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad
已核對的服務日期: 2026年11月2日
Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed
資料串流指紋: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945
我們會比較變更前後各 14 天已確認的到站紀錄。只有在變更前後兩段時間都至少有 7 個服務日和 200 次到站紀錄時,我們才會公布比較結果。
Still collecting: before has 3,651 arrivals over 10 days; after has 1,068 arrivals over 3 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.
校驗碼可讓任何人核對,是哪一份留存的時刻表產生這些數量。數量有變動,並不能說明原因、取消、營運單位的決定或對乘客的影響。
我們把每個預定到達班次的最後一筆合資格業者預測,與官方時刻表比較。這些不是獨立量測的到達時間。結果至少需要 200 筆合資格預測。這裡採用乘客角度的目標:誤差在 5 分鐘內。
公開資料來源沒有提供可靠的乘客人數,也沒有提供漏載乘客的事件。缺少車輛位置,本身並不能證明班次取消、未出車、中途折返或其原因。
暫定結果,已公布的數據
每個小時都會把某班預定到站的最後一次合格業者預測與時刻表比較。「5 分鐘內」是指預測與時刻表的差距,不是實際量到的到站時間,也不能證明巴士有行駛。
佐證期間: 2026年10月6日 to 2026年11月3日
| 小時 | 準點 | 中位數 | 第 95 百分位 | 證據 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 94.6% | 0.1 min early | 2.6 min late | 448 · 10 days |
| 07:00 | 87.2% | 2.2 min late | 8.1 min late | 851 · 10 days |
| 08:00 | 52.5% | 4.6 min late | 10.9 min late | 284 · 10 days |
| 15:00 | 75.5% | 2.5 min late | 50.3 min late | 245 · 10 days |
| 16:00 | 75.2% | 2.5 min late | 10.3 min late | 781 · 10 days |
| 17:00 | 82.8% | 2.3 min late | 9 min late | 868 · 10 days |
| 18:00 | 79.2% | 2.4 min late | 12.8 min late | 120 · 10 days |
1 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.
43 / 45 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (95.6%).
這不是已確認的未發車。 找不到車輛位置,可能是班次取消或漏班,也可能是班次編號未指派,或是營運單位的資料來源出現缺口。Otranspo 公布這項缺口,因為這對乘客很重要,同時也會如實處理,不作過度推論。
Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. 來源與限制.
Dated service
The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.
November 3, 2026 · 9 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified
In short: 8 with a matched position · 1 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.