No 49 trips cancelled now · 2 did not run in NoofeembarCancellations →

Previous measure: 77.5% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (16,440 arrivals over 27 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.

Waddada 49: Elmvale ⇄ Hurdman

Mar kasta 30 ilaa 120 daqiiqo

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Open dated evidence

Evidence period: 29-Okt-2026 – 04-Nof-2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 4 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 7.

Trips needing investigation

3 of 214 trips with a usable feed window (1.4%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

211 with position · 3 to investigate · 0 excluded · 214 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: 05-Nof-2026 ee 1:58 GH.

Coverage, exclusions and sources

0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 211 / 214 (98.6%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: 05-Nof-2026 ee 12:39 GH

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

77.5%

of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.

Predictions in the source: 16,440
Weekdays with evidence: 19
Evidence window: 06-Okt-2026 – 03-Nof-2026

The hours we have evidence for

0696% · 463 predictions · 11 days
0779% · 462 predictions · 11 days
0868% · 1,104 predictions · 13 days
0976% · 434 predictions · 15 days
1096% · 607 predictions · 15 days
1295% · 615 predictions · 15 days
1489% · 776 predictions · 15 days
1577% · 960 predictions · 15 days
1669% · 1,046 predictions · 15 days
1771% · 1,101 predictions · 15 days
1858% · 855 predictions · 13 days
1989% · 434 predictions · 11 days
2088% · 34 predictions · 11 days
2285% · 200 predictions · 10 days

Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: 05-Nof-2026

2 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

14 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Basas isku mar imanaya

Last 28 days, Oktoobar 8, 2026 to Noofeembar 4, 2026: 25 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: Oktoobar 8, 2026, Oktoobar 15, 2026.

Qiimayaasha iyo fasiraadda

No bunched buses were measured on this route in the last 28 days (4,609 pairs checked at stops).

0% of pairs (0) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.

Basas isku mar imanaya
Wakhtiga maalinta	Lammaane la hubiyay	Isku-ururay	Farqi dheer
Saacadaha ugu mashquulka badan ee subaxda (6 ilaa 9 subaxnimo)	2,026	0% (0)	0% (0)
Duhur (9 a.m. ilaa 3 p.m.)	315	0% (0)	0% (0)
Saacadaha mashquulka galabta (3 ilaa 6 galabnimo)	2,076	0% (0)	0% (0)
Fiidkii (6 ilaa 10 p.m.)	192	0% (0)	0% (0)

Sida loo cabbiro →How we got this numberBasaska isku soo ururay iyo meelaha gaabis ah ee khad kasta →

Meesha khadkani ugu gaabis yahay

Slowest: ELMVALE A to PLEASANT PARK / NORWAY, 25.4 km/h actual against 30.8 km/h planned.

Meesha khadkani ugu gaabis yahay
Laga bilaabo	Ilaa	Masaafo	Xawaaraha la qorsheeyey	Xawaaraha dhabta ah	Safarrada la cabbiray	Safarro gaabis ah
ELMVALE A	PLEASANT PARK / NORWAY	2.2 km	30.8 km/h	25.4 km/h	377	29%
HURDMAN D	PLEASANT PARK / NORWAY	4.4 km	35.6 km/h	26.9 km/h	340	29%

Safar gaabis ah wuxuu qaatay ugu yaraan 1.5 jeer waqtiga loo qorsheeyay.

Sida loo cabbiro →

Joojinta khadkan

Micnaha ereyadan →

2 partial-capture days not counted.

4 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Khms, Okt 8 to Arbc, Nof 4.

Not counted: 8 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.

Saacadaha ugu badan ee safarro la joojiyay: 5 GD (2), 4 GD (1), 6 GD (1)

Safarrada ugu dambeeyay ee la joojiyay

Isn, Nof 2, scheduled 18:31
Jmc, Okt 23, scheduled 16:28
Khms, Okt 22, scheduled 17:02
Jmc, Okt 9, scheduled 17:02

OC Transpo sabab uma bixiso safarrada gaarka ah, sidaas darteed midna lama muujin.

Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 2 of 214 trips we could check.

Fur falanqaynta saadaalinta ee taariikhaysan

Go'aan

What this route needs

Median provider predictions are 3.3 to 4.3 min later than the timetable in 4 hours of the day.

Predictions near the start are about 2.2 min later than the timetable, with a similar difference near the end. This does not establish the cause.

18:00 has 58% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 82% the rest of the day.

Only 99% of scheduled trips were seen; the rest are not counted as missed.

Next investigation: test terminal recovery and the preceding trip against operational records. Predictions alone do not establish the cause.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 16 hours with samples

00:00: not enough data
01:00: not enough data
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: not enough data
05:00: not enough data
06:00: 96.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 463 predictions, typically 1.1 min late
07:00: 79% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 462 predictions, typically 2.8 min late
08:00: 67.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,104 predictions, typically 3.8 min late
09:00: 76% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 434 predictions, typically 3 min late
10:00: 96.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 607 predictions, typically 1.6 min late
11:00: not enough data
12:00: 94.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 615 predictions, typically 1.9 min late
13:00: not enough data
14:00: 88.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 776 predictions, typically 1.9 min late
15:00: 76.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 960 predictions, typically 2.6 min late
16:00: 68.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,046 predictions, typically 3.6 min late
17:00: 70.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,101 predictions, typically 2.7 min late
18:00: 57.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 855 predictions, typically 4.3 min late
19:00: 89.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 434 predictions, typically 2.3 min late
20:00: 88.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 34 predictions, typically 2.1 min late
21:00: not enough data
22:00: 84.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 200 predictions, typically 3.3 min late
23:00: not enough data

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data

Findings
What	Goorma	La cabbiray	Scenario or next investigation
ProblemPredictions later than timetable	08:00 · 16:00 · 18:00 · 22:00	3.8 min late … 3.3 min late	Recovery time at the terminal
ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match	18:00	58%	Operations, not the timetable
CaveatCoverage gap	All measured hours	99%	More observation, not a service change

Measurements

Predictions later than timetable · 08:00: Measured arrivals 1,104; Hours affected 1; Spread 9.5 min; Median delay 3.8 min; Suggested running time change 3.8 min
Predictions later than timetable · 16:00: Measured arrivals 1,046; Hours affected 1; Spread 9 min; Median delay 3.6 min; Suggested running time change 3.6 min
Predictions later than timetable · 18:00: Measured arrivals 855; Hours affected 1; Spread 6 min; Median delay 4.3 min; Suggested running time change 4.3 min
Predictions later than timetable · 22:00: Measured arrivals 200; Hours affected 1; Spread 2.2 min; Median delay 3.3 min; Suggested running time change 3.3 min
One hour has a lower prediction match · 18:00: Saacad 18:00; Waqtigii 57.5%; Measured arrivals 855; Shortfall 24.3 pts; Route median on time 81.8%
Coverage gap · All measured hours: Yool 99.5%; Trips with a matching position 98.6%; Maalmaha adeegga 5; Trips with a matching position 211; Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran 214

Fur taariikhda, isku-halaynta iyo falanqaynta khadka

Hubinta khadka

How route 49 has been running

Kooban gaaban oo ah waxa aan ognahay. Waan sheegnaa marka aynaan su'aal ka jawaabi karin.

Gunaanad kooban

Saadaalinta bixiyuhu inta badan way ka duwanayd jadwalka; imaatinka dhabta ah si madax-bannaan lama cabbirin.

78 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 16,440 predictions checked

Cabbirka muunadda saadaasha: Muunad weyn

Based on 16,440 eligible provider predictions over 27 measured days, from Okt 6, 2026 to Nof 3, 2026.

Updated 05-Nof-2026 ee 12:33 GH

Xaggee iyo goorma ayay saadaalintu si isdaba joog ah u kala duwanayd?

Kuwani waa kala duwanaansho soo noqnoqday oo u dhexeeya saadaasha iyo jadwalka. Maaha khaladaad adeeg oo si madax-bannaan loo cabbiray. Waxay isticmaalaan saadaalo isku mid ah oo ku habboon sida natiijada kor ku xusan, laakiin waxay kooxeeyaan istaag halkii saacad. Sidaa darteed liisaska ma isu waafaqayaan sadar kasta.

18–19: 43 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (855 predictions over 13 days).
08–09: 33 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (1,104 predictions over 13 days).
16–17: 31 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (1,046 predictions over 15 days).

Ogeysiis rasmi ah oo hadda jira ma waafaqsana khadkan.

Farqiga saadaasha marka loo eego goobta joogsiga

PLEASANT PARK / NORWAY
48 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (402 predictions over 29 days).
Fur joogsigan
PLEASANT PARK / LYNDA
46 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (402 predictions over 29 days).
Fur joogsigan
PLEASANT PARK / AD. 504
45 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (402 predictions over 29 days).
Fur joogsigan
PLEASANT PARK / AD. 452
44 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (402 predictions over 29 days).
Fur joogsigan

Kuwani waa saadaalyo khad gaar ah oo bixiyaha laga helay, la barbar dhigay jadwalka. Waxay muujiyaan farqi saadaal oo soo noqnoqda goob iyo waqti gaar ah. Ma aha imaatin la cabbiray, mana muujiyaan sababta.

Hubi safar kasta iyo taariikh kasta

Fur muddo waqti ah si aad u aragto maalin kasta oo adeeg, safar kasta oo jadwalka ku qoran, daldaloolka xogta, aqoonsiga gaariga dadweynaha ee la arkay, iyo tirooyinka saxda ah ee ka dambeeya soo koobiddan.

Waxa rakaabku rabaan inay ogaadaan

Ma jiraa safar hadda la joojiyay?: Ma jiraan safarro bilaabma 4-ta saacadood ee soo socotaWaxay hubisaa safarrada ka bilaabanaya dhammaadka khadka 4 saacadood ee soo socota. Kani maaha heerka joojinta ee taariikhda.
Suurtagal in aan la iman marka la hubiyo daldaloolada xogta?: 3 of 214 checked trips need a closer look3 of 214 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 0 of 214 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
Sidee bay u kala duwanaayeen saadaalinta bixiyaha iyo jadwalka?: At the 95th percentile, the predicted difference was 11.2 min (positive means later; negative means earlier)78 in 100 eligible provider predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable; actual arrivals were not measured here.
Waqtiga sugitaanka saadaalinta bixiyaha adeegga muujisay waa imisa?: Weli natiijo heer waddo ah ma gaarin xadka caddaymaha. Tani micnaheedu maaha in kala go'yaal adeeg aysan dhicin.

Hubinta isbeddelka jadwalka

Jadwalka la daabacay: ka hor iyo ka dib

Tani waxay isbarbar dhigaysaa jadwalka rasmiga ah ee hadda la haysto iyo nuqulkii hore ee la haystay. Isbeddellada jadwalka waa xaqiiqooyin ku saabsan wixii la qorsheeyay. Ma caddaynayaan in safar la socday.

Current published schedule began Oktoobar 30, 2026

Maalinta adeegga la doortay ee jadwal kasta oo la daabacay

Waxaan eegnaa Isniintii ugu horreysay ee ka dambaysay bilowga jadwalka cusub iyo Isniintii toddobaad ka horreysay. Tiro kasta waxay ka timaadaa noocyada rasmiga ah ee GTFS ee la hayo, ee hoos lagu magacaabay.

Ugu yaraan hal taariikh oo la doortay waxay isticmaalaysaa adeeg taariikh gaar ah oo la daray ama la saaray. U fiirso tan inay tahay xaalad fasax ama adeeg gaar ah, ma aha kordhin caadi ah oo maalmaha shaqada ah.

Kahor

Taariikhda adeegga la hubiyay: Oktoobar 26, 2026

Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran: 35
Joogsiyo kala duwan oo jadwalka ku qoran: 43
Dariiqooyin kala duwan oo la daabacay: 2
Muddada adeegga la daabacay: 06:10–22:33

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Calaamadda aqoonsiga xogta: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad

Jadwal cusub

Taariikhda adeegga la hubiyay: Noofeembar 2, 2026

Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran: 35
Joogsiyo kala duwan oo jadwalka ku qoran: 43
Dariiqooyin kala duwan oo la daabacay: 2
Muddada adeegga la daabacay: 06:10–22:33

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Calaamadda aqoonsiga xogta: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945

Ma hagaagtay adeegga kadib isbeddelka?

Waxaan isbarbar dhigi doonaa imaatinnada la xaqiijiyay ee 14-ka maalmood ee ka horreeya iyo ka dambeeya isbeddelka. Isbarbardhigga waxaan daabacaynaa kaliya marka labada dhinac mid walba leeyahay ugu yaraan 7 maalmood oo adeeg ah iyo 200 imaatin.

Still collecting: before has 8,709 arrivals over 14 days; after has 3,648 arrivals over 6 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Lambarrada hubinta waxay u saamaxaan qof kasta inuu hubiyo jadwalka la xajiyay ee soo saaray tirada. Tiro isbeddelay ma muujinayso sabab, joojin, go'aanka hawlgalaha, ama saameyn ku yimid rakaabka.

Sida waddadan loo qiimeeyo: Waddo caadi ah oo joogsata dhammaan goobaha

Waxaan isbarbardhignaa saadaashii ugu dambaysay ee bixiyaha ee u qalma imaatin kasta oo jadwalka ku jirta iyo jadwalka rasmiga ah. Kuwani ma aha imaatinno si madaxbannaan loo cabbiray. Natiijadu waxay u baahan tahay ugu yaraan 200 saadaal oo u qalma. Gudaha 5 daqiiqo waa bartilmaameedka rakaabku arki karaan ee halkan loo isticmaalay.

Waxa xogtani caddayn karin

Xogta tooska ah ee dadweynaha ma bixiso tirada rakaabka ee la isku halayn karo, ama dhacdooyinka rakaab laga dhaafay. Booska oo ka maqan keligiis ma caddeeyo joojin, safar aan la imaan, safar la gaabiyay, ama sabab.

Arag qeexitaannada, xadka iyo hannaanka caddaymaha

Isha rasmiga ah ee hadda: joojinta si cad loo sheegay, boosas la boodey iyo ogeysiisyo shaqeynaya.
Indha-indheyn is waafaqday: meelaha gawaarida iyo saadaalin la xaqiijiyay oo ku xiran jadwalka rasmiga ah.
Jadwalka rasmiga ah: waxa la qorsheeyay, oo ka gaar ah waxa la arkay.
Warbixinnada rakaabka iyo shirkadda: tilmaamo ku saabsan wadooyin, wakhtiyo iyo meelo la baaro, maaha caddayn tiro ah keligood.

Natiijooyin ku meel gaar ah, caddayn la daabacay

Sidee bay saadaalintu ula barbar dhigmeen jadwalka?

Saacad kasta waxay is barbar dhigtaa saadaashii ugu dambaysay ee la aqbali karay ee bixiyaha ee imaatin jadwal ku xusan iyo jadwalka. “Gudaha 5 daqiiqo” waxay qeexaysaa farqiga saadaashaas. Ma aha imaatin la cabbiray ama caddayn ah in bas ordey.

Muddada caddaynta: Oktoobar 6, 2026 to Noofeembar 3, 2026

Gudaha 5 daqiiqo jadwalka: 77.5%
Saadaalinta u qalmay ee la hubiyay: 16,440
Maalmaha shaqada ee xog leh: 19
Daahitaanka la saadaaliyay ee boqolleyda 95aad: 11.2 min late

Patterns by hour (16)

Patterns by hour (16)
Saacad	Waqtigii	Dhexe	Boqolleyda 95aad	Caddayn
06:00	96.3%	1.1 min late	4.3 min late	463 · 11 days
07:00	79.0%	2.8 min late	7 min late	462 · 11 days
08:00	67.5%	3.8 min late	13.3 min late	1,104 · 13 days
09:00	76.0%	3 min late	12.6 min late	434 · 15 days
10:00	96.2%	1.6 min late	4.5 min late	607 · 15 days
11:00	100.0%	0.2 min early	1.1 min late	164 · 4 days
12:00	94.6%	1.9 min late	5 min late	615 · 15 days
13:00	86.6%	0.9 min late	12.6 min late	164 · 4 days
14:00	88.5%	1.9 min late	5.8 min late	776 · 15 days
15:00	76.8%	2.6 min late	9.4 min late	960 · 15 days
16:00	68.6%	3.6 min late	12.6 min late	1,046 · 15 days
17:00	70.6%	2.7 min late	11.6 min late	1,101 · 15 days
18:00	57.5%	4.3 min late	10.3 min late	855 · 13 days
19:00	89.2%	2.3 min late	6.5 min late	434 · 11 days
20:00	88.2%	2.1 min late	5.5 min late	34 · 11 days
22:00	84.5%	3.3 min late	5.5 min late	200 · 10 days

3 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Bas jadwal leh, laakiin aan waqtiga dhabta ah lagu arkin

211 / 214 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (98.6%).

22:001 / 5 trips without a position80.0%
18:001 / 17 trips without a position94.1%
17:001 / 24 trips without a position95.8%
06:000 / 10 trips without a position100.0%
07:000 / 10 trips without a position100.0%
08:000 / 26 trips without a position100.0%

Tani ma aha ka-maqnaansho la xaqiijiyay. Goob maqan waxay la macno noqon kartaa bas la joojiyay ama la seegay, laakiin waxay kaloo la macno noqon kartaa aqoonsi safar aan loo qoondeynin ama farqi ku jira xogta shirkadda. Otranspo waxay daabacaysaa farqigan sababtoo ah wuxuu muhiim u yahay rakaabka, iyadoo gabagabada ka dhigaysa mid daacad ah.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Ilaha iyo xadadka.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 4, 2026 November 3, 2026 November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026

November 4, 2026 · 35 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 34 with a matched position · 1 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.

06:10– 06:24
Trip 36085040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 5:59 a.m. EST / 6:24 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
06:40– 06:54
Trip 5544040Explicit notice: CANCELEDVehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:31 a.m. EST / 8:11 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:10– 07:24
Trip 20693040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:10 a.m. EST / 7:31 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:40– 07:56
Trip 9409040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:55 a.m. EST / 8:02 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:00– 08:16
Trip 14137040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:16 a.m. EST / 8:28 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:02– 08:16
Trip 32423040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:13 a.m. EST / 8:27 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:21– 08:37
Trip 31859040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:22 a.m. EST / 8:38 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:30– 08:44
Trip 1544040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:40 a.m. EST / 9:16 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:51– 09:06
Trip 31757040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:06 a.m. EST / 9:09 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
09:02– 09:16
Trip 9562040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:06 a.m. EST / 9:21 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
10:02– 10:16
Trip 27657040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:59 a.m. EST / 10:16 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
10:24– 10:38
Trip 5292040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 10:25 a.m. EST / 10:38 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.

· Open all evidence for this day