No 153 trips cancelled now · 0 did not run in NoofeembarCancellations →

Previous measure: 93.6% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (6,927 arrivals over 27 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.

Waddada 153: Carlingwood ⇄ Lincoln Fields

Mar kasta 60 ilaa 63 daqiiqo

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Open dated evidence

Evidence period: 27-Okt-2026 – 02-Nof-2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 2 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 2.

Trips needing investigation

0 of 101 trips with a usable feed window (0%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

101 with position · 0 to investigate · 0 excluded · 101 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: 03-Nof-2026 ee 10:26 GD.

Coverage, exclusions and sources

0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 101 / 101 (100%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: 03-Nof-2026 ee 9:17 GD

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

93.6%

of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.

Predictions in the source: 6,927
Weekdays with evidence: 19
Evidence window: 05-Okt-2026 – 02-Nof-2026

The hours we have evidence for

0898% · 370 predictions · 10 days
1098% · 324 predictions · 14 days
1188% · 370 predictions · 10 days
1299% · 518 predictions · 14 days
13100% · 370 predictions · 10 days
1492% · 520 predictions · 14 days
1598% · 190 predictions · 10 days
1687% · 320 predictions · 14 days
1780% · 190 predictions · 10 days
18100% · 180 predictions · 10 days
1999% · 370 predictions · 10 days

Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: 04-Nof-2026

2 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

11 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Basas isku mar imanaya

Last 28 days, Oktoobar 6, 2026 to Noofeembar 2, 2026: 26 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: Oktoobar 8, 2026, Oktoobar 15, 2026.

Too few buses were measured to judge bunching: 0 pairs checked, 30 needed.

Sida loo cabbiro →How we got this numberBasaska isku soo ururay iyo meelaha gaabis ah ee khad kasta →

Meesha khadkani ugu gaabis yahay

Slowest: LINCOLN FIELDS 3B to LINCOLN FIELDS MALL EAST, 10.3 km/h actual against 9.2 km/h planned.

Meesha khadkani ugu gaabis yahay
Laga bilaabo	Ilaa	Masaafo	Xawaaraha la qorsheeyey	Xawaaraha dhabta ah	Safarrada la cabbiray	Safarro gaabis ah
LINCOLN FIELDS 3B	LINCOLN FIELDS MALL EAST	770 m	9.2 km/h	10.3 km/h	182	8%
CARLINGWOOD - LOBLAWS	LINCOLN FIELDS MALL WEST	3 km	15.6 km/h	16.2 km/h	172	0%

Safar gaabis ah wuxuu qaatay ugu yaraan 1.5 jeer waqtiga loo qorsheeyay.

Sida loo cabbiro →

Shaqada waddooyinka magaalada ee u dhow khadkan

Shaqada waddooyinka iyo xidhitaannada waddooyinka ee dhacdooyinka oo Magaalada Ottawa daabacday, lagana qiyaasay inay u dhow yihiin jidka waddadan. U dhow ma aha caddeyn in baska jid kale loo weeciyay. Taas ka eeg digniinaha hawlwadaha laftiisa.

Shaqo wadada ah
Byron E/B between Richardson and Compton
01-Okt-2026 ee 12:00 GH to 30-Nof-2026 ee 6:00 GD
Byron eastbound closed between Richardson and Compton due to construction, until November 30th 6:00pm.
about 0 m from the route
City record updated 01-Okt-2026 ee 11:56 GH.
Shaqo wadada ah
RICHMOND W/B between CLEARY and WOODROFFE
26-Okt-2026 ee 12:00 GH to 06-Nof-2026 ee 5:00 GD
RICHMOND westbound lane reduction between CLEARY and WOODROFFE due to construction, until November 6th.
Magaalada ayaa tan calaamadisay inay saameyso gaadiidka dadweynaha.
about 0 m from the route
City record updated 03-Nof-2026 ee 6:40 GH.
Shaqo wadada ah
CARLING E/B between Kichi Zibi Mikan on Ramp and EDGEWORTH
30-Okt-2026 ee 12:00 GH to 13-Nof-2026 ee 3:00 GD
CARLING eastbound reduced to 1 lane between Kichi Zibi Mikan on Ramp and EDGEWORTH due to construction, from November 2nd to 13th between 9:30am and 3:00pm.
about 0 m from the route
City record updated 30-Okt-2026 ee 11:40 GH.
Shaqo wadada ah
BOND between CROYDON and FOREST
30-Okt-2026 ee 12:00 GH to 20-Nof-2026 ee 5:00 GD
BOND closed between CROYDON and FOREST due to construction, from November 2nd to 20th. Access for local traffic maintained.
about 0 m from the route
City record updated 30-Okt-2026 ee 1:12 GD.

A route counts as near when its timetable path passes within 40 m of the City’s mapped closure; a stop counts when it is within 75 m.

Isha: Dhacdooyinka taraafikada ee Magaalada Ottawa (shaqada waddooyinka iyo xidhitaannada). Waxay ka kooban tahay macluumaad lagu shatiyeeyay Open Government Licence, City of Ottawa. Magaaladu waxay sheegtaa in liiskan yahay dadaal ugu fiican oo laga yaabo inuusan dhammaystirnayn. Khariidadda taraafikada Magaalada Ottawa ↗

Joojinta khadkan

Micnaha ereyadan →

2 partial-capture days not counted.

2 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Tldo, Okt 6 to Isn, Nof 2.

Not counted: 2 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.

Saacadaha ugu badan ee safarro la joojiyay: 10 GH (1), 4 GD (1)

Safarrada ugu dambeeyay ee la joojiyay

Tldo, Okt 20, scheduled 16:03
Tldo, Okt 13, scheduled 10:09

OC Transpo sabab uma bixiso safarrada gaarka ah, sidaas darteed midna lama muujin.

Ma iman (basku lama arkin, ogeysiis ma jirin), 7-dii maalmood ee la soo dhaafay: mid ka mid ah safarrada aan hubin karnay ma jiro.

Fur falanqaynta saadaalinta ee taariikhaysan

Go'aan

What this route needs

Median provider predictions are 3.1 min later than the timetable in 1 hours of the day.

98% of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable in a typical sampled hour; the lowest sampled hour is 80%.

Matched public positions cover 100% of scheduled trips. This is a lower bound on operated service, not an audited delivery result.

Scenario: 3 min more running time on 10 trips. The schedule-block model adds no buses; fleet and workforce feasibility are unverified.

Assumptions: published departure times, trip blocks and service pattern stay fixed while running time changes. A scheduler must test headways, transfers, recovery, fleet circulation, operator shifts, labour rules and cost before use.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 11 hours with samples

00:00: not enough data
01:00: not enough data
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: not enough data
05:00: not enough data
06:00: not enough data
07:00: not enough data
08:00: 98.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 370 predictions, typically 0.8 min early
09:00: not enough data
10:00: 97.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 324 predictions, typically 1.2 min late
11:00: 88.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 370 predictions, typically 2.9 min late
12:00: 98.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 518 predictions, typically 2.1 min late
13:00: 99.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 370 predictions, typically 2 min late
14:00: 92.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 520 predictions, typically 0.1 min late
15:00: 98.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 190 predictions, typically 0.8 min early
16:00: 86.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 320 predictions, typically 0 min late
17:00: 80% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 190 predictions, typically 3.1 min late
18:00: 100% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 180 predictions, typically 0.9 min early
19:00: 99.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 370 predictions, typically 0.3 min late
20:00: not enough data
21:00: not enough data
22:00: not enough data
23:00: not enough data

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data

Findings
What	Goorma	La cabbiray	Scenario or next investigation
StrengthPredictions consistently close to timetable	08:00, 10:00, 11:00, 12:00, 13:00, 14:00, 15:00, 16:00, 17:00, 18:00, 19:00	98%	Keep what works
ProblemPredictions later than timetable	17:00	3.1 min late	More running time
StrengthObserved-position lower bound	All measured hours	100%	Keep what works

Measurements

Predictions consistently close to timetable · 08:00, 10:00, 11:00, 12:00, 13:00, 14:00, 15:00, 16:00, 17:00, 18:00, 19:00: Measured arrivals 3,722; Hours measured 11; Worst hour on time 80%; Median hour on time 98.4%
Predictions later than timetable · 17:00: Measured arrivals 190; Hours affected 1; Spread 3.5 min; Median delay 3.1 min; Suggested running time change 3.1 min
Observed-position lower bound · All measured hours: Yool 99.5%; Trips with a matching position 100%; Maalmaha adeegga 5; Trips with a matching position 101; Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran 101

Fur taariikhda, isku-halaynta iyo falanqaynta khadka

Hubinta khadka

How route 153 has been running

Kooban gaaban oo ah waxa aan ognahay. Waan sheegnaa marka aynaan su'aal ka jawaabi karin.

Gunaanad kooban

Saadaalada shirkaddu badanaa waxay ku dhowaayeen jadwalka muunadan taariikhda leh.

94 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 6,927 predictions checked

Cabbirka muunadda saadaasha: Muunad weyn

Based on 6,927 eligible provider predictions over 27 measured days, from Okt 5, 2026 to Nof 2, 2026.

Updated 03-Nof-2026 ee 9:32 GD

Xaggee iyo goorma ayay saadaalintu si isdaba joog ah u kala duwanayd?

Kuwani waa kala duwanaansho soo noqnoqday oo u dhexeeya saadaasha iyo jadwalka. Maaha khaladaad adeeg oo si madax-bannaan loo cabbiray. Waxay isticmaalaan saadaalo isku mid ah oo ku habboon sida natiijada kor ku xusan, laakiin waxay kooxeeyaan istaag halkii saacad. Sidaa darteed liisaska ma isu waafaqayaan sadar kasta.

Weli ma jirto muddo kala duwanaansho saadaal ah oo soo noqnoqota oo gaadhay heerka caddaynta.

Ogeysiis rasmi ah oo hadda jira ma waafaqsana khadkan.

Farqiga saadaasha marka loo eego goobta joogsiga

Weli ma haysanno taariikh ku filan oo khad-iyo-saldhig ah si aan u magacowno saldhig dhibaato soo noqnoqota leh. Warbixinnada rakaabka waxaa loo adeegsadaa tilmaamo, ma aha caddayn.

Hubi safar kasta iyo taariikh kasta

Fur muddo waqti ah si aad u aragto maalin kasta oo adeeg, safar kasta oo jadwalka ku qoran, daldaloolka xogta, aqoonsiga gaariga dadweynaha ee la arkay, iyo tirooyinka saxda ah ee ka dambeeya soo koobiddan.

Waxa rakaabku rabaan inay ogaadaan

Ma jiraa safar hadda la joojiyay?: Jawaab toos ah oo ku saabsan joojinta ma jirtoOC Transpo’s live trip-update feed did not answer this check. That is a feed gap. It does not mean zero cancellations, and it is not proof of a cancellation. Open the evidence to see the schedule, retained explicit cancellation notices, and every labelled data gap.
Suurtagal in aan la iman marka la hubiyo daldaloolada xogta?: 0 of 101 checked trips need a closer look0 of 101 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 0 of 101 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
Sidee bay u kala duwanaayeen saadaalinta bixiyaha iyo jadwalka?: At the 95th percentile, the predicted difference was 5.5 min (positive means later; negative means earlier)94 in 100 eligible provider predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable; actual arrivals were not measured here.
Waqtiga sugitaanka saadaalinta bixiyaha adeegga muujisay waa imisa?: Weli natiijo heer waddo ah ma gaarin xadka caddaymaha. Tani micnaheedu maaha in kala go'yaal adeeg aysan dhicin.

Hubinta isbeddelka jadwalka

Jadwalka la daabacay: ka hor iyo ka dib

Tani waxay isbarbar dhigaysaa jadwalka rasmiga ah ee hadda la haysto iyo nuqulkii hore ee la haystay. Isbeddellada jadwalka waa xaqiiqooyin ku saabsan wixii la qorsheeyay. Ma caddaynayaan in safar la socday.

Current published schedule began Oktoobar 30, 2026

Maalinta adeegga la doortay ee jadwal kasta oo la daabacay

Waxaan eegnaa Isniintii ugu horreysay ee ka dambaysay bilowga jadwalka cusub iyo Isniintii toddobaad ka horreysay. Tiro kasta waxay ka timaadaa noocyada rasmiga ah ee GTFS ee la hayo, ee hoos lagu magacaabay.

Ugu yaraan hal taariikh oo la doortay waxay isticmaalaysaa adeeg taariikh gaar ah oo la daray ama la saaray. U fiirso tan inay tahay xaalad fasax ama adeeg gaar ah, ma aha kordhin caadi ah oo maalmaha shaqada ah.

Kahor

Taariikhda adeegga la hubiyay: Oktoobar 26, 2026

Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran: 17
Joogsiyo kala duwan oo jadwalka ku qoran: 35
Dariiqooyin kala duwan oo la daabacay: 2
Muddada adeegga la daabacay: 08:02–19:38

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Calaamadda aqoonsiga xogta: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad

Jadwal cusub

Taariikhda adeegga la hubiyay: Noofeembar 2, 2026

Safarrada jadwalka ku qoran: 17
Joogsiyo kala duwan oo jadwalka ku qoran: 35
Dariiqooyin kala duwan oo la daabacay: 2
Muddada adeegga la daabacay: 08:02–19:38

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Calaamadda aqoonsiga xogta: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945

Ma hagaagtay adeegga kadib isbeddelka?

Waxaan isbarbar dhigi doonaa imaatinnada la xaqiijiyay ee 14-ka maalmood ee ka horreeya iyo ka dambeeya isbeddelka. Isbarbardhigga waxaan daabacaynaa kaliya marka labada dhinac mid walba leeyahay ugu yaraan 7 maalmood oo adeeg ah iyo 200 imaatin.

Still collecting: before has 3,723 arrivals over 14 days; after has 925 arrivals over 4 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Lambarrada hubinta waxay u saamaxaan qof kasta inuu hubiyo jadwalka la xajiyay ee soo saaray tirada. Tiro isbeddelay ma muujinayso sabab, joojin, go'aanka hawlgalaha, ama saameyn ku yimid rakaabka.

Sida waddadan loo qiimeeyo: Waddo caadi ah oo joogsata dhammaan goobaha

Waxaan isbarbardhignaa saadaashii ugu dambaysay ee bixiyaha ee u qalma imaatin kasta oo jadwalka ku jirta iyo jadwalka rasmiga ah. Kuwani ma aha imaatinno si madaxbannaan loo cabbiray. Natiijadu waxay u baahan tahay ugu yaraan 200 saadaal oo u qalma. Gudaha 5 daqiiqo waa bartilmaameedka rakaabku arki karaan ee halkan loo isticmaalay.

Waxa xogtani caddayn karin

Xogta tooska ah ee dadweynaha ma bixiso tirada rakaabka ee la isku halayn karo, ama dhacdooyinka rakaab laga dhaafay. Booska oo ka maqan keligiis ma caddeeyo joojin, safar aan la imaan, safar la gaabiyay, ama sabab.

Arag qeexitaannada, xadka iyo hannaanka caddaymaha

Isha rasmiga ah ee hadda: joojinta si cad loo sheegay, boosas la boodey iyo ogeysiisyo shaqeynaya.
Indha-indheyn is waafaqday: meelaha gawaarida iyo saadaalin la xaqiijiyay oo ku xiran jadwalka rasmiga ah.
Jadwalka rasmiga ah: waxa la qorsheeyay, oo ka gaar ah waxa la arkay.
Warbixinnada rakaabka iyo shirkadda: tilmaamo ku saabsan wadooyin, wakhtiyo iyo meelo la baaro, maaha caddayn tiro ah keligood.

Natiijooyin ku meel gaar ah, caddayn la daabacay

Sidee bay saadaalintu ula barbar dhigmeen jadwalka?

Saacad kasta waxay is barbar dhigtaa saadaashii ugu dambaysay ee la aqbali karay ee bixiyaha ee imaatin jadwal ku xusan iyo jadwalka. “Gudaha 5 daqiiqo” waxay qeexaysaa farqiga saadaashaas. Ma aha imaatin la cabbiray ama caddayn ah in bas ordey.

Muddada caddaynta: Oktoobar 5, 2026 to Noofeembar 2, 2026

Gudaha 5 daqiiqo jadwalka: 93.6%
Saadaalinta u qalmay ee la hubiyay: 6,927
Maalmaha shaqada ee xog leh: 19
Daahitaanka la saadaaliyay ee boqolleyda 95aad: 5.5 min late

Patterns by hour (11)

Patterns by hour (11)
Saacad	Waqtigii	Dhexe	Boqolleyda 95aad	Caddayn
08:00	98.4%	0.8 min early	2.5 min late	370 · 10 days
10:00	97.8%	1.2 min late	4.1 min late	324 · 14 days
11:00	88.4%	2.9 min late	5.7 min late	370 · 10 days
12:00	98.8%	2.1 min late	4.1 min late	518 · 14 days
13:00	99.7%	2 min late	4.2 min late	370 · 10 days
14:00	92.3%	0.1 min late	6.2 min late	520 · 14 days
15:00	98.4%	0.8 min early	3.1 min late	190 · 10 days
16:00	86.6%	0 min late	6.7 min late	320 · 14 days
17:00	80.0%	3.1 min late	6.6 min late	190 · 10 days
18:00	100.0%	0.9 min early	1.1 min late	180 · 10 days
19:00	99.2%	0.3 min late	3.2 min late	370 · 10 days

Weli lama xaqiijin qaab soo noqnoqda oo ka hooseeya 70% ugu yaraan saddex maalmood oo adeeg.

Bas jadwal leh, laakiin aan waqtiga dhabta ah lagu arkin

101 / 101 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (100.0%).

08:000 / 10 trips without a position100.0%
10:000 / 9 trips without a position100.0%
11:000 / 10 trips without a position100.0%
12:000 / 14 trips without a position100.0%
13:000 / 10 trips without a position100.0%
14:000 / 14 trips without a position100.0%

Tani ma aha ka-maqnaansho la xaqiijiyay. Goob maqan waxay la macno noqon kartaa bas la joojiyay ama la seegay, laakiin waxay kaloo la macno noqon kartaa aqoonsi safar aan loo qoondeynin ama farqi ku jira xogta shirkadda. Otranspo waxay daabacaysaa farqigan sababtoo ah wuxuu muhiim u yahay rakaabka, iyadoo gabagabada ka dhigaysa mid daacad ah.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Ilaha iyo xadadka.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026 October 28, 2026 October 27, 2026

November 2, 2026 · 17 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 17 with a matched position · 0 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.

08:02– 08:20
Trip 20502020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:51 a.m. EST / 8:18 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:47– 09:00
Trip 16629020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:44 a.m. EST / 8:59 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
10:09– 10:30
Trip 28471020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:55 a.m. EST / 10:29 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
11:07– 11:25
Trip 6492020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 10:30 a.m. EST / 11:28 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
11:28– 11:40
Trip 26974020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 10:43 a.m. EST / 12:13 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
12:09– 12:27
Trip 28033020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 12:13 p.m. EST / 12:26 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
12:30– 12:42
Trip 15151020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 11:49 a.m. EST / 1:00 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
13:06– 13:24
Trip 5907020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 1:01 p.m. EST / 1:23 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
13:27– 13:39
Trip 33000020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 1:24 p.m. EST / 1:45 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
14:07– 14:28
Trip 17189020Explicit notice: CANCELEDVehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 1:23 p.m. EST / 2:25 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
14:30– 14:42
Trip 11428020Explicit notice: CANCELEDVehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 2:26 p.m. EST / 3:40 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
15:28– 15:41
Trip 5565020Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 3:03 p.m. EST / 3:42 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.

· Open all evidence for this day