ᓯᕗᓂᐊᓂ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᓂᖅ
Previous measure, week of Sep 28 – Oct 4: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
ᐱᓇᓱᐊᕐᓯᐅᑕᒫᑦ report ending Oct 4, 2026: 78.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 7 of 7 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
ᐊᖁᑎᓂ ᐃᓘᓐᓇᖏᓐᓂ
- Predicted within five minutes
- 78.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 2,007,178
- ᐊᖁᑏᑦ ᐆᒃᑐᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ
- 148
Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Preceding equal window · 2026-09-21–2026-09-27
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
ᒫᓐᓇᐅᔪᖅ
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
ᓯᓚᐅᑉ ᖃᓄᐃᓕᐅᕐᓂᖓ
ᓯᓚ ᑕᑯᔭᐅᑎᑦᑕᐅᔪᖅ ᖃᐅᔨᒪᔭᐅᖁᓪᓗᒍ ᑭᓯᐊᓂ. ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᙱᑦᑐᖅ ᓈᓴᐅᑎᓂᒃ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᓂᕐᒧᑦ, ᐱᔾᔪᑎᒋᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᓇᓚᐅᑦᑖᕐᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᑖᓐᓇ ᒪᑐᐃᖓᔪᒥ.
- Mon, Sep 28ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Tue, Sep 29ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Wed, Sep 30ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Thu, Oct 1ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Fri, Oct 2ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Sat, Oct 3ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
- Sun, Oct 4ᓯᓚ ᐃᓱᒪᒋᔭᐅᔭᕆᐊᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ
ᐱᕝᕕᖓ: ᐊᕙᑎᓕᕆᔨᒃᑯᑦ ᑲᓇᑕ (Environment and Climate Change Canada). ᐅᓪᓗᑕᒫᖅ ᐊᒻᒪ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᑕᒫᖅ ᓯᓚ ᐋᑐᕚ ᒥᑦᑕᕐᕕᖓᓂ (climate ID 6106001). ᓯᓚᐅᑉ ᐅᓪᓗᖓ ᐱᒋᐊᖅᑐᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᑉ ᕿᑎᖓᓂ. ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑐᖅ ᐅᓐᓄᐊᑉ ᕿᑎᖓᓂ. ᓄᓇᒥ ᐊᑐᖅᑕᐅᔪᒥ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᓂ. ᐊᐅᔭᒥ ᐸᓯᑦ ᐅᓪᓗᖓᓐᓂᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᒥ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᖃᕐᓂᐊᖅᑐᖅ. ᓯᓚᐅᑉ ᑎᑎᕋᖅᓯᒪᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᕐᕌᒍᓂ ᐊᓂᒍᖅᓯᒪᔪᓂ ↗
Most reliable this period
- 9499.6%528 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO97.1%12,552 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17396.4%11,283 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8495.6%501 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO95.2%685 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9394.8%8,013 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO93.6%1,606 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO92.8%7,277 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 77STO92.7%4,854 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4592%5,641 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 45STO37.7%3,044 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2348%1,405 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO48.3%3,623 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO48.6%14,865 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1755.5%1,789 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 47STO59.4%1,601 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 759.8%47,536 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1159.9%40,283 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3261.1%2,304 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1362.1%3,578 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 5, 2026, 5:12 a.m.