Previous measure
Previous measure, October 30: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Oct 30, 2026: 80.3% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 31, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.3%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 354,049
- Routes measured
- 148
Oct 30, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-10-23–2026-10-23
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 44936c9b-7dbb-44c9-8e2c-6051bb87b4da, 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945 / 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, adf8b6f0-5fb9-4eca-bcb9-68f5235502fc
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- -0.1 °C to 12.2 °C
- Strongest gust
- 50 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 84100%136 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 94100%132 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO100%128 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18797.9%234 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 40STO96.3%518 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11296.3%2,860 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 73STO96.2%983 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 15396.2%314 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18995.6%2,661 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6695.3%485 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2342%305 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO43.8%521 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 56STO46.4%603 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 52STO53.5%1,790 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2055.1%3,581 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3258.5%576 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5662.4%2,389 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1463.2%6,333 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO63.3%221 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1763.7%449 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 31, 2026, 6:13 a.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 31, 2026, 6:13 a.m.