Previous measure
Previous measure, September 3: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Sep 3, 2026: 82.7% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 82.7%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 72,016
- Routes measured
- 147
Sep 3, 2026 to Sep 3, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-27–2026-08-27
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
Visibility down to 0.2 km
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 16.8 °C to 26.6 °C
- Strongest gust
- 32 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 13 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 112100%523 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO100%165 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 45STO100%142 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 25STO100%115 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 69STO100%106 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 67STO99.5%197 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 41STO99.2%122 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 39STO99%305 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 63STO99%196 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 100STO98.8%172 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2059.8%906 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1462.9%1,198 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6263.2%638 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3163.9%675 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4765.4%231 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4265.8%371 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1866.7%905 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 967.4%359 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3369.4%684 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16869.7%860 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.