Previous measure
Previous measure, August 14: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 14, 2026: 80.5% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 80.5%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 104,811
- Routes measured
- 134
Aug 14, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-08-07–2026-08-07
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- trace
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 13 °C to 24.7 °C
- Strongest gust
- 32 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 68100%263 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 98STO100%165 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 79STO98%405 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 58STO97.1%488 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 28STO97%270 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18STO96.9%159 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 75STO95.2%2,078 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 72STO95.2%270 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 87STO94.9%876 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 62STO94.1%1,885 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 314.3%187 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 249.7%124 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9817.8%230 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5118.5%200 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4821.4%295 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1431.3%463 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 11134.5%255 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4436.3%314 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1037.1%321 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6340.6%234 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.