Previous measure
Previous measure, August 4: share of final arrival predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Not the new on-time measure.
Frozen publication
Daily report ending Aug 4, 2026: 76.9% of predictions within five minutes.
Compare bus service over a day, a week or 28 days. This edition is frozen.
- 1 of 1 calendar days have completed rollups
- Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under method settled-arrival-period-report-v8
Across the network
- Predicted within five minutes
- 76.9%
- Previous period —
- Eligible trip-stop predictions
- 230,039
- Routes measured
- 87
Aug 4, 2026 to Aug 4, 2026
Previous period: not published for this edition
How this figure was compared
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Same weekday, one week earlier · 2026-07-28–2026-07-28
Matched route and weekday · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. A comparison period is missing
A matched difference is withheld: A comparison period is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · —; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · not used by this method
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. A comparison period is missing
Timetable feed versions: — / —
Weather context
Weather is shown for context. It is not used to adjust, excuse or score any figure on this page.
No notable weather
- Snow
- 0 cm
- Rain
- 0 mm
- Snow on the ground
- Not available
- Low and high
- 13.3 °C to 28.7 °C
- Strongest gust
- 33 km/h
Snow reported in 0 and freezing rain in 0 of 8 hours with a weather report.
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, daily and hourly climate data for Ottawa International Airport (climate ID 6106001). A climate day runs midnight to midnight, local standard time, so it can differ by an hour from the service day in summer. Historical climate data ↗
Most reliable this period
- 2699.7%286 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 16296.1%740 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 3595.5%1,916 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 8495.4%108 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 18794.8%173 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4594.8%858 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 19794.4%213 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6894.2%5,395 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 4092.7%3,879 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 17392.2%1,788 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Furthest from the timetable
- 2338.3%350 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1744.1%372 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1845.1%3,147 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6349.5%3,744 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6650.1%383 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 2052.6%3,107 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 1453.1%5,243 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 6257.2%2,708 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 9459%122 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
- 5759.1%3,783 eligible trip-stop predictionsInspect dated trip evidence
Trip evidence is a current source read for this calendar window. It can change and is separate from any frozen report snapshot.
Cite this publication
Published on Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 p.m. under settled-arrival-period-report-v8. This stored snapshot will not be recomputed when evidence or code changes.
- Calculation method
settled-arrival-period-report-v8- Evidence available through
- Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 p.m.