No 78 trips cancelled now · 2 did not run in NovemberCancellations →

Previous measure: 92.4% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (20,956 arrivals over 22 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.

STO miikana 78: Atmec/De L'Aéroport

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Open dated evidence

Evidence period: Oct 28, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

—

No retained notice returned; this does not prove zero cancellations.

Trips needing investigation

2 of 175 trips with a usable feed window (1.1%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

173 with position · 2 to investigate · 27 excluded · 202 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Nov 4, 2026, 11:46 p.m..

Coverage, exclusions and sources

27 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 173 / 202 (85.6%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: Nov 4, 2026, 10:48 p.m.

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

92.4%

of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.

Predictions in the source: 20,956
Weekdays with evidence: 17
Evidence window: Oct 6, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

The hours we have evidence for

0497% · 189 predictions · 7 days
0599% · 620 predictions · 8 days
0699% · 489 predictions · 8 days
0784% · 385 predictions · 7 days
0894% · 646 predictions · 11 days
0998% · 718 predictions · 12 days
1094% · 639 predictions · 11 days
1199% · 751 predictions · 13 days
1297% · 734 predictions · 12 days
1399% · 746 predictions · 12 days
1494% · 629 predictions · 13 days
1590% · 703 predictions · 12 days
1685% · 546 predictions · 12 days
1788% · 782 predictions · 12 days
1891% · 652 predictions · 11 days
1985% · 348 predictions · 9 days
2097% · 370 predictions · 10 days
2199% · 384 predictions · 10 days
2297% · 350 predictions · 9 days
2396% · 390 predictions · 10 days

Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: Nov 5, 2026

6 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

20 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Buses arriving bunched

Last 28 days, October 7, 2026 to November 3, 2026: 21 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: October 8, 2026, October 12, 2026.

Values and interpretation

0% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 6 of 9,591 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.

0% of pairs (8) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.

Buses arriving bunched
Giizhigad diba'iganan	Pairs checked	Bunched	Long gap
Early morning (4 to 6 a.m.)	887	0% (0)	0% (0)
Morning rush (6 to 9 a.m.)	1,314	0% (0)	0% (0)
Midday (9 a.m. to 3 p.m.)	4,899	0% (6)	0% (6)
Afternoon rush (3 to 6 p.m.)	1,842	0% (0)	0% (2)
Evening (6 to 10 p.m.)	649	0% (0)	0% (0)

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →How we got this numberBunching and slow spots on every route →

Where this route is slowest

Slowest: STATION LORRAIN to LORRAIN/de CALUMET, 6.5 km/h actual against 14.3 km/h planned.

Where this route is slowest
Wendjibàyan	Ijayan	Aaniin epiichi-waasaag	Planned speed	Actual speed	Trips measured	Slow trips
STATION LORRAIN	LORRAIN/de CALUMET	930 m	14.3 km/h	6.5 km/h	436	58%
POB CHEVAL-BLANC	STATION LORRAIN arrêt d'arrivée	3.8 km	22.1 km/h	21.6 km/h	429	0%
MALONEY EST/de l'AÉROPORT	ATMEC/de l'AÉROPORT	850 m	20.7 km/h	22.3 km/h	482	1%
ATMEC/de l'AÉROPORT	POB CHEVAL-BLANC	1.9 km	21.5 km/h	23.6 km/h	482	0%
LORRAIN/de CALUMET	MALONEY EST/de l'AÉROPORT	3.8 km	34.9 km/h	28.3 km/h	463	10%

Bejiw madjàwin: 1.5 apì nawach kinwesh.

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →

Cancellations on this route

What these words mean →

6 partial-capture days not counted.

1 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Wed, Oct 7 to Tue, Nov 3.

Not counted: 0 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.

Hours with the most cancellations: 9 a.m. (1)

Latest cancelled trips

Mon, Oct 19, scheduled 09:01

A cause is shown only when STO’s own alert for that trip gives one.

Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 2 of 175 trips we could check.

When this route is usually busy

From the load level STO’s buses report, over the last eight weeks. A time is marked usually busy when at least half of the trips with a reading reached standing room or fuller.

No time of day was usually busy in the last eight weeks.

When this route is usually busy	Anokii-giizhigadoon	Samdi	Anamiegìjigad
Before 6 am	Usually seats0% of 105 trips	Not enough readings	Not enough readings
6 to 9 am	Usually seats10.5% of 238 trips	Not enough readings	Not enough readings
9 am to 3 pm	Usually seats0.2% of 421 trips	Usually seats0% of 44 trips	Usually seats0% of 43 trips
3 to 6 pm	Usually seats22.7% of 247 trips	Usually seats13% of 23 trips	Usually seats8% of 25 trips
6 to 10 pm	Usually seats6.6% of 183 trips	Usually seats10% of 30 trips	Usually seats0% of 29 trips
After 10 pm	Usually seats2.9% of 69 trips	Usually seats0% of 14 trips	Usually seats0% of 13 trips

Based on 56 computed days.

Source: the occupancy status in STO’s public real-time vehicle feed, which STO sets from each bus’s load sensor (seats available under 60% full, standing room under 90%, full above 90%).
Each trip counts once per time of day, at the highest load it reported.
Reports of an empty bus are left out, because older records could not tell an empty bus from one with no sensor.
A time of day needs at least 12 trips on at least 4 different days before anything is shown. Holidays are counted with their day of the week.

Open the dated prediction analysis

Ishkwaa-inendamowin

What this route needs

97% of predictions are within five minutes of the timetable in a typical sampled hour; the lowest sampled hour is 84%.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 20 hours with samples

00:00: not enough data
01:00: not enough data
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: 97.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 189 predictions, typically 2.2 min late
05:00: 99% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 620 predictions, typically 0.1 min late
06:00: 98.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 489 predictions, typically 0.8 min late
07:00: 83.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 385 predictions, typically 2.7 min late
08:00: 93.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 646 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
09:00: 98.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 718 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
10:00: 93.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 639 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
11:00: 98.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 751 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
12:00: 97.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 734 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
13:00: 98.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 746 predictions, typically 0.4 min late
14:00: 93.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 629 predictions, typically 0.4 min late
15:00: 89.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 703 predictions, typically 1 min late
16:00: 85.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 546 predictions, typically 0.4 min late
17:00: 88.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 782 predictions, typically 2 min late
18:00: 90.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 652 predictions, typically 1.7 min late
19:00: 85.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 348 predictions, typically 2.2 min late
20:00: 97% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 370 predictions, typically 1.8 min late
21:00: 98.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 384 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
22:00: 97.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 350 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
23:00: 96.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 390 predictions, typically 1.1 min late

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data

Findings
What	Aaniin apii	Tibàdjigade	Scenario or next investigation
StrengthPredictions consistently close to timetable	04:00 to 00:00	97%	Keep what works

Measurements

Predictions consistently close to timetable · 04:00 to 00:00: Measured arrivals 11,071; Hours measured 20; Worst hour on time 83.6%; Median hour on time 96.7%

Open history, reliability and route analysis

Route check

How route 78 has been running

A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.

Ishkwàdj ikidowin

Provider predictions were usually close to schedule in this dated sample.

92 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 20,956 predictions checked

Aaniin minik gikendaasowinan: Larger sample

Based on 20,956 eligible provider predictions over 22 measured days, from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:32 p.m.

Where and when did predictions differ repeatedly?

These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.

No repeated prediction-difference period has cleared the evidence threshold yet.

No current official notice matches this route.

Prediction differences by stop

STATION LORRAIN
49 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (544 predictions over 24 days).
Open this stop

These are route-specific provider predictions compared with the timetable. They identify repeated prediction differences at a place and time, not measured arrivals or their cause.

Check every trip and date

Pàkinan pejig dibaigan ji-wàbandaman endaso-gìzhigad, odàbànag, àpì kàwin gegò gì-ayàsinog, odàbàn ishinikàzowinan, gaye kakina àjindàsowinan.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?: No trips start in the next 4 hoursChecks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.
Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?: 2 of 175 checked trips need a closer look2 of 175 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 27 of 202 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
Àniin gà-ikidong, gaye àniin dibaigan mazina'igan ikido?: At the 95th percentile, the predicted difference was 5.6 min (positive means later; negative means earlier)92 in 100 eligible provider predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable; actual arrivals were not measured here.
What wait did provider predictions imply?: No route-level result meets the evidence threshold yet. This does not mean gaps did not happen.

Ganawaabandan aanjichigewin

Apii-mazina'igan: jibwaa miinawaa ishkwaa

Ow ozhibiigan ijinàgwad noongom, kaye ijinàgwad kayàsh. Ow ozhibiigan ikido kà-inendjigàdeg. Kawin ondji-kikendàgwasinon kidji-ki-majàd odàbàn.

Current published schedule began November 2, 2026

Giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigaadeg endaso-mazina'iganing

Ningii-ganawaabandaamin nitam Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad ishkwaa oshki-mazina'igan gii-maajitaamagak, miinawaa Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad bezhig anami'e-giizhigad jibwaa. Gakina agindaasowinan onjimagadoon GTFS mazina'iganan gaa-ganawendamang, ezhinikaadegin dabazhish.

Bezhig gemaa nawaj giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigeyan, bakaan izhi-bimiwizhiwewag odaabaanag. Ganabaj anami'e-giizhigad gemaa wiikonge-giizhigad. Gaawiin iwe apane izhiwebasinoon.

Jibwà

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: October 26, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 0
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 0
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 0
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: —–—

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 7692f9a7012f44e6 · 68840ddf-afaa-4cf4-9656-22afc030f92f

Oshki mazina'igan

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: November 2, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 34
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 39
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 1
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: 04:44–23:42

Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 540f8e4e98d50320 · 7a8023af-fdc6-4276-bed6-2e3d7bd7bb74

Nawaj na gii-mino-izhiwebad gaa-ishkwaa-aanjichigaadeg?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 11,346 arrivals over 13 days; after has 1,614 arrivals over 2 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare the last eligible provider prediction for each scheduled arrival with the official schedule. These are not independently measured arrivals. A result needs at least 200 eligible predictions. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

Waabandan aaniin ezhi-inaabadak gaye aaniin ezhi-agindaasong

Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Provisional results, published evidence

How did predictions compare with the timetable?

Each hour compares the last eligible provider prediction for a scheduled arrival with the timetable. “Within 5 minutes” describes that prediction difference, not a measured arrival or proof that a bus ran.

Evidence window: October 6, 2026 to November 3, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule: 92.4%
Eligible predictions checked: 20,956
Weekdays with data: 17
95th-percentile predicted delay: 5.6 min late

Patterns by hour (20)

Patterns by hour (20)
Dibaa'igan	Weweni apii	Median	95th percentile	Gikendaasowinan
04:00	97.4%	2.2 min late	3.2 min late	189 · 7 days
05:00	99.0%	0.1 min late	2.6 min late	620 · 8 days
06:00	98.6%	0.8 min late	3.2 min late	489 · 8 days
07:00	83.6%	2.7 min late	6.2 min late	385 · 7 days
08:00	93.7%	0.6 min late	5.1 min late	646 · 11 days
09:00	98.3%	0.7 min late	3.5 min late	718 · 12 days
10:00	93.7%	0.7 min late	3.7 min late	639 · 11 days
11:00	98.9%	0.6 min late	2.9 min late	751 · 13 days
12:00	97.3%	0.7 min late	4.4 min late	734 · 12 days
13:00	98.9%	0.4 min late	3.4 min late	746 · 12 days
14:00	93.5%	0.4 min late	5.7 min late	629 · 13 days
15:00	89.5%	1 min late	6.7 min late	703 · 12 days
16:00	85.2%	0.4 min late	11.8 min late	546 · 12 days
17:00	88.4%	2 min late	6.4 min late	782 · 12 days
18:00	90.6%	1.7 min late	5.8 min late	652 · 11 days
19:00	85.3%	2.2 min late	6.2 min late	348 · 9 days
20:00	97.0%	1.8 min late	4.8 min late	370 · 10 days
21:00	98.7%	0.7 min late	3.3 min late	384 · 10 days
22:00	97.4%	0.6 min late	2.2 min late	350 · 9 days
23:00	96.4%	1.1 min late	4.6 min late	390 · 10 days

No repeated pattern below 70% is yet established across at least three service days.

Bus scheduled, gaawiin dash gii-waabandanziimin realtime

173 / 202 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (85.6%).

19:003 / 7 trips without a position57.1%
07:004 / 10 trips without a position60.0%
06:003 / 10 trips without a position70.0%
20:002 / 7 trips without a position71.4%
21:002 / 7 trips without a position71.4%
22:002 / 7 trips without a position71.4%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 3, 2026 November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026 October 28, 2026

November 3, 2026 · 34 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 23 with a matched position · 2 with no matching position (to investigate) · 9 with an unknown outcome.

04:44– 05:11
Trip sto:63295728Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
05:04– 05:31
Trip sto:63295947Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
05:34– 06:02
Trip sto:63294587Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:04– 06:34
Trip sto:63295948Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:34– 07:06
Trip sto:63290289Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:01– 07:34
Trip sto:63295949Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:38– 08:09
Trip sto:63295958Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
08:05– 08:34
Trip sto:63294758Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
08:31– 09:02
Trip sto:63295950Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
09:01– 09:30
Trip sto:63295951Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:22 a.m. EST / 9:27 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
09:31– 10:00
Trip sto:63295991Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:19 a.m. EST / 9:57 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
10:01– 10:30
Trip sto:63295952Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 9:57 a.m. EST / 10:27 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.

· Open all evidence for this day

Draft

This translation is a draft.

Help improve it

About 49% of this site is translated so far. The rest is shown in English.

Read this page in English

This page is a machine draft in Algonquin (Anishinaabemowin), the language of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation. It was prepared without review by its speakers, and is waiting for one. Speakers and the community are invited to correct it. We will replace it with their words. Ottawa is on the unceded territory of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation.

Cette page est une ébauche automatique en algonquin (anishinaabemowin), la langue de la Nation algonquine anishinabe. Elle a été préparée sans révision par ses locuteurs, et attend l’un d’eux. Les locuteurs et la communauté sont invités à la corriger. Nous la remplacerons par leurs mots. Ottawa se trouve sur le territoire non cédé de la Nation algonquine anishinabe (Anishinabe Algonquin Nation).