No 279 trips cancelled now · 0 did not run in NovemberCancellations →

Mìkana 279: Tunney's Pasture ⇄ Manotick

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Evidence period: Oct 28, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 1 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 1.

Trips needing investigation

0 of 35 trips with a usable feed window (0%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

35 with position · 0 to investigate · 0 excluded · 35 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Nov 4, 2026, 12:34 p.m..

Coverage, exclusions and sources

0 of 2 endpoint departures scheduled in the next four hours carried an explicit cancellation at the last check.

0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 35 / 35 (100%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: Nov 4, 2026, 11:17 a.m.

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

No comparable percentage published

This service purpose needs a different method. A general percentage could give a misleading picture.

Predictions in the source: 4,909
Weekdays with evidence: 18
Evidence window: Oct 6, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: Nov 4, 2026

2 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

The general hourly comparison is not suitable for this service purpose. Source records remain available.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Buses arriving bunched

Last 28 days, October 7, 2026 to November 3, 2026: 26 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: October 8, 2026, October 15, 2026.

Too few buses were measured to judge bunching: 0 pairs checked, 30 needed.

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →How we got this numberBunching and slow spots on every route →

Where this route is slowest

Slowest: BARRHAVEN CENTRE B to MARKETPLACE B, 11.8 km/h actual against 9.4 km/h planned.

Where this route is slowest
Wendjibàyan	Ijayan	Aaniin epiichi-waasaag	Planned speed	Actual speed	Trips measured	Slow trips
BARRHAVEN CENTRE B	MARKETPLACE B	310 m	9.4 km/h	11.8 km/h	49	0%
STRANDHERD A	MARKETPLACE A	480 m	14.4 km/h	18.5 km/h	66	2%
MARKETPLACE B	STRANDHERD B	500 m	29.7 km/h	23 km/h	51	37%
TUNNEY'S PASTURE G	FALLOWFIELD A	11.6 km	19.9 km/h	25.6 km/h	66	0%
BARRHAVEN CENTRE A	BEAVERWOOD / ANN	7.9 km	55.5 km/h	26.8 km/h	64	98%
MANOTICK MAIN / KELLY MARIE	BEAVERWOOD / ANN	2.4 km	23.9 km/h	27.5 km/h	50	0%
BEAVERWOOD / ANN	BARRHAVEN CENTRE B	7.4 km	49.3 km/h	27.8 km/h	50	92%
FALLOWFIELD A	STRANDHERD A	3.1 km	37 km/h	28.9 km/h	67	27%

Bejiw madjàwin: 1.5 apì nawach kinwesh.

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →

Oodena miikana-anokiiwin besho o'ow miikana

Mikana anokiiwinan miinawaa mikanan gaa-gibaakwa'igaadegin, Ottawa oodena gaa-wiindamaaged. Besho ayaamagadoon owe mikana. Besho, gaawiin dash izhi-gikendaagwasinoon gichi-odaabaan bakaan izhaad. Ganawaabandan gichi-odaabaan wiindamaagewinan.

Odena mikana-anokiwin ozhibiigan kawin gashkitòsinon kidji-agindjigàdeg noongom.

A route counts as near when its timetable path passes within 40 m of the City’s mapped closure; a stop counts when it is within 75 m.

Wenji-ayaamagak: Ottawa oodena miikanaang wiindamaagewinan (miikanaang anokiiwin miinawaa gibaakwa'igaadeg miikanan). Open Government Licence, City of Ottawa. Ottawa oodena ikido: gaawiin gakina ayaasinoon owe mazina'igan. Odaawaa oodena miikanaa-mazina'igan ↗

Cancellations on this route

What these words mean →

2 partial-capture days not counted.

No counted cancellations on this route in the last four weeks. Notices we could not check would be listed below.

Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: none of the trips we could check.

Open the dated prediction analysis

Ishkwaa-inendamowin

What this route needs

Median provider predictions are 4 to 5 min later than the timetable in 3 hours of the day.

The prediction difference from the timetable grows by about 8.4 min along the route.

Provider predictions are about 3.4 min earlier than the timetable, 19:00.

Wide prediction spread 18:00: the 95th percentile is 48.1 min later than the median.

18:00 has 36% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 63% the rest of the day.

Matched public positions cover 100% of scheduled trips. This is a lower bound on operated service, not an audited delivery result.

Scenario: 4 to 5 min more running time on 30 trips. The schedule-block model adds no buses; fleet and workforce feasibility are unverified.

Assumptions: published departure times, trip blocks and service pattern stay fixed while running time changes. A scheduler must test headways, transfers, recovery, fleet circulation, operator shifts, labour rules and cost before use.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 8 hours with samples

00:00: not enough data
01:00: not enough data
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: not enough data
05:00: not enough data
06:00: 87.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 420 predictions, typically 2 min late
07:00: 49.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 440 predictions, typically 5 min late
08:00: 71.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 440 predictions, typically 2.5 min late
09:00: not enough data
10:00: not enough data
11:00: not enough data
12:00: not enough data
13:00: not enough data
14:00: not enough data
15:00: 92.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 190 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
16:00: 50.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 300 predictions, typically 4.9 min late
17:00: 54% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 359 predictions, typically 3.2 min late
18:00: 35.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 368 predictions, typically 0.2 min early. Provider predictions have a wide spread.
19:00: 74.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 191 predictions, typically 3.4 min early
20:00: not enough data
21:00: not enough data
22:00: not enough data
23:00: not enough data

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data
prediction spread of 20 min or more between the 95th percentile and median

Findings
What	Aaniin apii	Tibàdjigade	Scenario or next investigation
ProblemPredictions later than timetable	07:00 · 16:00 to 18:00	5 min late · 4 min late	More running time
ProblemPredictions earlier than timetable	19:00	3.4 min early	Less running time, or holding points
ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match	18:00	36%	Operations, not the timetable
ProblemWide prediction spread	18:00	48.1 min swing	Operations, not the timetable
StrengthObserved-position lower bound	All measured hours	100%	Keep what works

Measurements

Predictions later than timetable · 16:00 to 18:00: Measured arrivals 659; Hours affected 2; Spread 12 min; Median delay 4 min; Suggested running time change 4 min
Predictions later than timetable · 07:00: Measured arrivals 440; Hours affected 1; Spread 7.5 min; Median delay 5 min; Suggested running time change 5 min
Predictions earlier than timetable · 19:00: Measured arrivals 191; Hours affected 1; Spread 6.8 min; Median delay -3.4 min; Suggested running time change -3.4 min
One hour has a lower prediction match · 18:00: Dibaa'igan 18:00; Weweni apii 35.6%; Measured arrivals 368; Shortfall 27.2 pts; Route median on time 62.8%
Wide prediction spread · 18:00: Measured arrivals 368; Hours affected 1; Spread 48.1 min; Median delay -0.2 min; Suggested running time change -0.2 min
Observed-position lower bound · All measured hours: Ijitchigewin 99.5%; Trips with a matching position 100%; Anokii-giizhigadoon 5; Trips with a matching position 35; Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin 35

Open history, reliability and route analysis

Route check

How route 279 has been running

A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.

Ishkwàdj ikidowin

Daa-gikendamaang aandi ow express route ezhi-biindigewaad bemaadizijig jibwaa rate-amaang.

Aaniin minik gikendaasowinan: Larger sample

Based on 4,909 eligible provider predictions over 18 measured days, from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:32 a.m.

Where and when did predictions differ repeatedly?

These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.

Maji-dibaiganan kàwin ozhibii'ànziwan. Ondji ow mìkana, mìnawa da-ganawàbandàn.

No current official notice matches this route.

Prediction differences by stop

We do not yet have enough route-by-stop history to name a recurring problem stop. Rider reports are used as leads, not proof.

Check every trip and date

Pàkinan pejig dibaigan ji-wàbandaman endaso-gìzhigad, odàbànag, àpì kàwin gegò gì-ayàsinog, odàbàn ishinikàzowinan, gaye kakina àjindàsowinan.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?: 0 of 2Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.
Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?: 0 of 35 checked trips need a closer look0 of 35 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 0 of 35 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
Àniin gà-ikidong, gaye àniin dibaigan mazina'igan ikido?: Not enough evidence yet
What wait did provider predictions imply?: No route-level result meets the evidence threshold yet. This does not mean gaps did not happen.

Ganawaabandan aanjichigewin

Apii-mazina'igan: jibwaa miinawaa ishkwaa

Ow ozhibiigan ijinàgwad noongom, kaye ijinàgwad kayàsh. Ow ozhibiigan ikido kà-inendjigàdeg. Kawin ondji-kikendàgwasinon kidji-ki-majàd odàbàn.

Current published schedule began October 30, 2026

Giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigaadeg endaso-mazina'iganing

Ningii-ganawaabandaamin nitam Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad ishkwaa oshki-mazina'igan gii-maajitaamagak, miinawaa Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad bezhig anami'e-giizhigad jibwaa. Gakina agindaasowinan onjimagadoon GTFS mazina'iganan gaa-ganawendamang, ezhinikaadegin dabazhish.

Bezhig gemaa nawaj giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigeyan, bakaan izhi-bimiwizhiwewag odaabaanag. Ganabaj anami'e-giizhigad gemaa wiikonge-giizhigad. Gaawiin iwe apane izhiwebasinoon.

Jibwà

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: October 26, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 7
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 76
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 2
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: 06:11–19:09

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad

Oshki mazina'igan

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: November 2, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 7
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 76
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 2
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: 06:11–19:09

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945

Nawaj na gii-mino-izhiwebad gaa-ishkwaa-aanjichigaadeg?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Gaawiin onizhishinzinoon ji-dibaabandaming aaniin apii ge-dagoshing odaabaan omaa miikanaang, mii iw wenji-ani-anokiing owe miikana. Gidaa-waabandaanaawaa ezhi-agindamang ozhibii'iganan. Ningii-bi-baabii'aanaan dash bakaan ji-waabandamaang, mii iw dibaajimowin ge-ani-dazhindamang agaamiing.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Express / commuter route

Inbound performance must be checked at pickup points. Early outbound running after pickups are finished is not treated like early service on a regular route.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

Waabandan aaniin ezhi-inaabadak gaye aaniin ezhi-agindaasong

Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Provisional results, published evidence

Data behind this result

An ordinary on-time grade is not appropriate for this service without checking its purpose. The route check above explains the pickup, community-service or event evidence needed. You can still inspect the recorded trips and data gaps below.

Evidence window: October 6, 2026 to November 3, 2026

Eligible predictions checked: 4,909
Weekdays with data: 18

Bus scheduled, gaawiin dash gii-waabandanziimin realtime

35 / 35 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (100.0%).

06:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%
07:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%
08:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%
15:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%
16:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%
17:000 / 5 trips without a position100.0%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 3, 2026 November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026 October 28, 2026

November 3, 2026 · 7 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 7 with a matched position · 0 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.

06:11– 07:08
Trip 34448030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 5:32 a.m. EST / 7:57 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:13– 08:12
Trip 27662030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:31 a.m. EST / 9:18 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:14– 09:13
Trip 27112030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:46 a.m. EST / 9:18 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
15:11– 16:10
Trip 9261030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 3:14 p.m. EST / 4:17 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
16:13– 17:12
Trip 14586030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 4:22 p.m. EST / 5:27 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
17:13– 18:10
Trip 15710030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 4:37 p.m. EST / 6:14 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
18:12– 19:09
Trip 17997030Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:15 p.m. EST / 7:08 p.m. EST; not actual start or end times.

Draft

This translation is a draft.

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Read this page in English

This page is a machine draft in Algonquin (Anishinaabemowin), the language of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation. It was prepared without review by its speakers, and is waiting for one. Speakers and the community are invited to correct it. We will replace it with their words. Ottawa is on the unceded territory of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation.

Cette page est une ébauche automatique en algonquin (anishinaabemowin), la langue de la Nation algonquine anishinabe. Elle a été préparée sans révision par ses locuteurs, et attend l’un d’eux. Les locuteurs et la communauté sont invités à la corriger. Nous la remplacerons par leurs mots. Ottawa se trouve sur le territoire non cédé de la Nation algonquine anishinabe (Anishinabe Algonquin Nation).