Scheduled service and available evidence
Evidence period: Oct 29, 2026 – Nov 4, 2026
0
Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Not counted: 1 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations. Trips with any notice: 1.
1
1 of 120 trips with a usable feed window (0.8%) had no matching position.
These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.
119 with position · 1 to investigate · 0 excluded · 120 scheduled trips
Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 1:36 a.m..
0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.
Published position coverage: 119 / 120 (99.2%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.
Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.
Historical calculation: Nov 5, 2026, 12:09 a.m.
Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.
Predictions against the timetable
No comparable percentage published
This service purpose needs a different method. A general percentage could give a misleading picture.
These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.
Calculated: Nov 5, 2026
2 partial-capture days not counted.
The general hourly comparison is not suitable for this service purpose. Source records remain available.
Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.
Last 28 days, October 8, 2026 to November 4, 2026: 25 days counted.
2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: October 8, 2026, October 15, 2026.
2% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 153 of 9,641 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.
2% of pairs (203) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.
| Giizhigad diba'iganan | Pairs checked | Bunched | Long gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morning rush (6 to 9 a.m.) | 4,811 | 2% (98) | 1% (58) |
| Midday (9 a.m. to 3 p.m.) | 105 | 1% (1) | 0% (0) |
| Afternoon rush (3 to 6 p.m.) | 3,701 | 1% (45) | 0% (1) |
| Evening (6 to 10 p.m.) | 1,024 | 1% (9) | 14% (144) |
Slowest: CHAPEL HILL A to RENAUD / GLENLIVET, 14.2 km/h actual against 18.8 km/h planned.
| Wendjibàyan | Ijayan | Aaniin epiichi-waasaag | Planned speed | Actual speed | Trips measured | Slow trips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAPEL HILL A | RENAUD / GLENLIVET | 1.1 km | 18.8 km/h | 14.2 km/h | 107 | 37% |
| INNES / RONDEL | RENAUD / COMPASS | 4.9 km | 19.5 km/h | 20.1 km/h | 111 | 0% |
| BEARBROOK / WESTPARK | INNES / RONDEL | 3.4 km | 25.7 km/h | 20.4 km/h | 111 | 10% |
| BEARBROOK / WESTPARK | ST JOSEPH / BEARBROOK | 1.7 km | 15.2 km/h | 23.6 km/h | 198 | 5% |
| RENAUD / GLENLIVET | EASTPARK / INNES | 5.1 km | 38.6 km/h | 26.3 km/h | 110 | 59% |
| EASTPARK / INNES | BEARBROOK / WESTPARK | 3.4 km | 49.5 km/h | 27.1 km/h | 194 | 72% |
| BLAIR A | BEARBROOK / ST JOSEPH | 3.7 km | 44.3 km/h | 28 km/h | 176 | 49% |
| BEARBROOK / ST JOSEPH | BEARBROOK / WESTPARK | 1.6 km | 12 km/h | 35.8 km/h | 173 | 1% |
Bejiw madjàwin: 1.5 apì nawach kinwesh.
2 partial-capture days not counted.
No counted cancellations on this route in the last four weeks. Notices we could not check would be listed below.
Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 1 of 120 trips we could check.
Ishkwaa-inendamowin
Median provider predictions are 5.1 min later than the timetable in 5 hours of the day.
Predictions near the start are about 3.6 min later than the timetable; the difference grows by another 4.7 min along the route.
Wide prediction spread 18:00: the 95th percentile is 32.1 min later than the median.
07:00 has 35% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 60% the rest of the day.
Only 99% of scheduled trips were seen; the rest are not counted as missed.
Scenario: 5 min more running time on 130 trips. The schedule-block model adds no buses; fleet and workforce feasibility are unverified.
Assumptions: published departure times, trip blocks and service pattern stay fixed while running time changes. A scheduler must test headways, transfers, recovery, fleet circulation, operator shifts, labour rules and cost before use.
| What | Aaniin apii | Tibàdjigade | Scenario or next investigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProblemPredictions later than timetable | 05:00 to 10:00 | 5.1 min late | More running time |
| ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match | 07:00 | 35% | Operations, not the timetable |
| ProblemWide prediction spread | 18:00 | 32.1 min swing | Operations, not the timetable |
| CaveatCoverage gap | All measured hours | 99% | More observation, not a service change |
Route check
A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.
Ishkwàdj ikidowin
Daa-gikendamaang aandi ow express route ezhi-biindigewaad bemaadizijig jibwaa rate-amaang.
Aaniin minik gikendaasowinan: Larger sample
Based on 12,668 eligible provider predictions over 18 measured days, from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026.
Updated Nov 5, 2026, 12:33 a.m.
These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.
Maji-dibaiganan kàwin ozhibii'ànziwan. Ondji ow mìkana, mìnawa da-ganawàbandàn.
No current official notice matches this route.
Prediction differences by stop
We do not yet have enough route-by-stop history to name a recurring problem stop. Rider reports are used as leads, not proof.
Pàkinan pejig dibaigan ji-wàbandaman endaso-gìzhigad, odàbànag, àpì kàwin gegò gì-ayàsinog, odàbàn ishinikàzowinan, gaye kakina àjindàsowinan.
Ganawaabandan aanjichigewin
Ow ozhibiigan ijinàgwad noongom, kaye ijinàgwad kayàsh. Ow ozhibiigan ikido kà-inendjigàdeg. Kawin ondji-kikendàgwasinon kidji-ki-majàd odàbàn.
Current published schedule began October 30, 2026
Ningii-ganawaabandaamin nitam Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad ishkwaa oshki-mazina'igan gii-maajitaamagak, miinawaa Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad bezhig anami'e-giizhigad jibwaa. Gakina agindaasowinan onjimagadoon GTFS mazina'iganan gaa-ganawendamang, ezhinikaadegin dabazhish.
Bezhig gemaa nawaj giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigeyan, bakaan izhi-bimiwizhiwewag odaabaanag. Ganabaj anami'e-giizhigad gemaa wiikonge-giizhigad. Gaawiin iwe apane izhiwebasinoon.
Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: October 26, 2026
Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed
Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad
Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: November 2, 2026
Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed
Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945
We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.
Gaawiin onizhishinzinoon ji-dibaabandaming aaniin apii ge-dagoshing odaabaan omaa miikanaang, mii iw wenji-ani-anokiing owe miikana. Gidaa-waabandaanaawaa ezhi-agindamang ozhibii'iganan. Ningii-bi-baabii'aanaan dash bakaan ji-waabandamaang, mii iw dibaajimowin ge-ani-dazhindamang agaamiing.
Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.
Inbound performance must be checked at pickup points. Early outbound running after pickups are finished is not treated like early service on a regular route.
The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.
Provisional results, published evidence
An ordinary on-time grade is not appropriate for this service without checking its purpose. The route check above explains the pickup, community-service or event evidence needed. You can still inspect the recorded trips and data gaps below.
Evidence window: October 6, 2026 to November 3, 2026
119 / 120 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (99.2%).
This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.
Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.
Dated service
The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.
November 4, 2026 · 24 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified
In short: 24 with a matched position · 0 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.