Stop impacts: Blair Station stop I relocation (UPDATED): October 10 2025 - Updated on October 9, 2026 Until further notice, stop I at Blair Station will be temporarily closed. This closure is due to construction work being performed on the north bus platform, as part of the Blair Station Elevator Replacement Project. Impacts Service for routes 12, 15, 23, 24, 26, 39, N39, and 42 will be relocated two stops east to stop G during the work period. No pedestrian access to north bus platform from the west side of the station. Use the accessible walkway along north platform East. To assist customers with accessing the station, shuttle buses will operate 24/7 between Gloucester Centre Mall, stop B and stop H. During the hours of midnight and 6 am, the shuttle bus service will extend to Telesat Court. What else to expect Customers should expect a heavier presence of construction activity along the pedestrian walkway at the station. Starting March 2, 2026, part of the north bus platform and the lower level east doors will be closed for several months to allow work on the new elevator system. Customers will use the adjacent south doors to access stops F, G, and H using a temporary platform installed next to the existing platform. This will not affect the stop locations or service. Other minor impacts to platforms and walkways on certain workdays may occur. Construction crews and flaggers will guide customers as required. Affected stops Bus Stop (560#) not in use · Routes · Alternate Stop #3027 -- Blair I · · 12 Tunney's Pasture · 15 Parliament · 23 Rothwell Heights & Blair · 24 Chapel Hill · 26 Pineview · 39 Millennium · 39 Blair & N Rideau · 42 Hurdman · #3027 -- Blair G Stop relocation map

No 15 trips cancelled now · 0 did not run in NovemberCancellations →

Previous measure: 67.1% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (29,259 arrivals over 18 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.

Mìkana 15: Blair ⇄ Parliament ~ Parlement

Endaso 14 biinish 20 min

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Open dated evidence

Evidence period: Oct 29, 2026 – Nov 4, 2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Trips with any notice: 11.

Trips needing investigation

8 of 240 trips with a usable feed window (3.3%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

232 with position · 8 to investigate · 0 excluded · 240 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 1:36 a.m..

Coverage, exclusions and sources

0 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 232 / 240 (96.7%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: Nov 5, 2026, 12:38 a.m.

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

67.1%

of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.

Predictions in the source: 29,259
Weekdays with evidence: 18
Evidence window: Oct 6, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

The hours we have evidence for

0682% · 1,295 predictions · 11 days
0779% · 2,270 predictions · 11 days
0873% · 2,602 predictions · 11 days
0968% · 2,084 predictions · 11 days
1085% · 407 predictions · 11 days
1497% · 242 predictions · 11 days
1551% · 1,495 predictions · 11 days
1650% · 2,536 predictions · 11 days
1754% · 2,412 predictions · 11 days
1870% · 2,331 predictions · 11 days
1964% · 123 predictions · 11 days

Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: Nov 5, 2026

2 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

11 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Buses arriving bunched

Last 28 days, October 8, 2026 to November 4, 2026: 25 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: October 8, 2026, October 15, 2026.

Values and interpretation

6% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 1,233 of 20,616 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.

5% of pairs (1,051) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.

Buses arriving bunched
Giizhigad diba'iganan	Pairs checked	Bunched	Long gap
Morning rush (6 to 9 a.m.)	6,823	5% (349)	7% (447)
Midday (9 a.m. to 3 p.m.)	3,296	7% (220)	8% (267)
Afternoon rush (3 to 6 p.m.)	6,975	7% (515)	4% (249)
Evening (6 to 10 p.m.)	3,522	4% (149)	2% (88)

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →How we got this numberBunching and slow spots on every route →

Where this route is slowest

Slowest: PARLIAMENT A to RIDEAU B, 8.3 km/h actual against 10.4 km/h planned.

Where this route is slowest
Wendjibàyan	Ijayan	Aaniin epiichi-waasaag	Planned speed	Actual speed	Trips measured	Slow trips
PARLIAMENT A	RIDEAU B	770 m	10.4 km/h	8.3 km/h	345	24%
RIDEAU B	MONTRÉAL / OLMSTEAD	2.6 km	11.1 km/h	10.8 km/h	374	8%
RIDEAU / CHARLOTTE	RIDEAU A	1.3 km	9.5 km/h	11.1 km/h	359	4%
BLAIR G	DEN HAAG / BATHGATE	2.5 km	18.2 km/h	11.4 km/h	342	48%
MONTRÉAL / ST-LAURENT	DEN HAAG / LA CITÉ	1.8 km	19.2 km/h	14.9 km/h	356	25%
DEN HAAG / BATHGATE	MONTRÉAL / ST-LAURENT	1.9 km	15 km/h	14.9 km/h	341	4%
MONTRÉAL / OLMSTEAD	MONTRÉAL / ST-LAURENT	1.4 km	15.2 km/h	15.1 km/h	372	5%
MONTRÉAL / ST-LAURENT	RIDEAU / CHARLOTTE	2.7 km	15 km/h	15.7 km/h	360	0%

Bejiw madjàwin: 1.5 apì nawach kinwesh.

Aaniin ezhi-dibaabandamang →

Oodena miikana-anokiiwin besho o'ow miikana

Mikana anokiiwinan miinawaa mikanan gaa-gibaakwa'igaadegin, Ottawa oodena gaa-wiindamaaged. Besho ayaamagadoon owe mikana. Besho, gaawiin dash izhi-gikendaagwasinoon gichi-odaabaan bakaan izhaad. Ganawaabandan gichi-odaabaan wiindamaagewinan.

Odena mikana-anokiwin ozhibiigan kawin gashkitòsinon kidji-agindjigàdeg noongom.

A route counts as near when its timetable path passes within 40 m of the City’s mapped closure; a stop counts when it is within 75 m.

Wenji-ayaamagak: Ottawa oodena miikanaang wiindamaagewinan (miikanaang anokiiwin miinawaa gibaakwa'igaadeg miikanan). Open Government Licence, City of Ottawa. Ottawa oodena ikido: gaawiin gakina ayaasinoon owe mazina'igan. Odaawaa oodena miikanaa-mazina'igan ↗

Cancellations on this route

What these words mean →

2 partial-capture days not counted.

31 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Thu, Oct 8 to Wed, Nov 4.

Not counted: 5 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.

Hours with the most cancellations: 5 p.m. (14), 4 p.m. (9), 6 p.m. (3)

Latest cancelled trips

Tue, Nov 3, scheduled 17:54
Tue, Nov 3, scheduled 17:46
Tue, Nov 3, scheduled 17:11
Tue, Nov 3, scheduled 16:41
Fri, Oct 30, scheduled 16:27

OC Transpo gives no reason for single trips, so none is shown.

Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: none of the trips we could check.

Open the dated prediction analysis

Ishkwaa-inendamowin

What this route needs

Median provider predictions are 4.7 min later than the timetable in 3 hours of the day.

Predictions near the start are about 4.8 min later than the timetable, with a similar difference near the end. This does not establish the cause.

Wide prediction spread 16:00: the 95th percentile is 21.6 min later than the median.

16:00 has 50% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 70% the rest of the day.

Only 97% of scheduled trips were seen; the rest are not counted as missed.

Next investigation: test terminal recovery and the preceding trip against operational records. Predictions alone do not establish the cause.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 11 hours with samples

00:00: not enough data
01:00: not enough data
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: not enough data
05:00: not enough data
06:00: 81.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,295 predictions, typically 1 min late
07:00: 78.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,270 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
08:00: 72.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,602 predictions, typically 0.1 min late
09:00: 67.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,084 predictions, typically 2.6 min late
10:00: 85.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 407 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
11:00: not enough data
12:00: not enough data
13:00: not enough data
14:00: 97.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 242 predictions, typically 0 min late
15:00: 51.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,495 predictions, typically 4.8 min late
16:00: 50% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,536 predictions, typically 4.7 min late. Provider predictions have a wide spread.
17:00: 53.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,412 predictions, typically 4.3 min late
18:00: 70.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,331 predictions, typically 2.7 min late
19:00: 64.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 123 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
20:00: not enough data
21:00: not enough data
22:00: not enough data
23:00: not enough data

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data
prediction spread of 20 min or more between the 95th percentile and median

Findings
What	Aaniin apii	Tibàdjigade	Scenario or next investigation
ProblemPredictions later than timetable	15:00 to 18:00	4.7 min late	Recovery time at the terminal
ProblemWide prediction spread	16:00	21.6 min swing	Operations, not the timetable
ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match	16:00	50%	Operations, not the timetable
CaveatCoverage gap	All measured hours	97%	More observation, not a service change

Measurements

Predictions later than timetable · 15:00 to 18:00: Measured arrivals 6,443; Hours affected 3; Spread 17.9 min; Median delay 4.7 min; Suggested running time change 4.7 min
Wide prediction spread · 16:00: Measured arrivals 2,536; Hours affected 1; Spread 21.6 min; Median delay 4.7 min; Suggested running time change 4.7 min
One hour has a lower prediction match · 16:00: Dibaa'igan 16:00; Weweni apii 50%; Measured arrivals 2,536; Shortfall 20.1 pts; Route median on time 70.1%
Coverage gap · All measured hours: Ijitchigewin 99.5%; Trips with a matching position 96.7%; Anokii-giizhigadoon 5; Trips with a matching position 232; Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin 240

Open history, reliability and route analysis

Route check

How route 15 has been running

A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.

Ishkwàdj ikidowin

Provider predictions often differed from the timetable; actual arrivals were not independently measured.

67 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 29,259 predictions checked

Aaniin minik gikendaasowinan: Larger sample

Based on 29,259 eligible provider predictions over 18 measured days, from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026.

Updated Nov 5, 2026, 12:33 a.m.

Where and when did predictions differ repeatedly?

These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.

16–17: 50 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (2,536 predictions over 11 days).
15–16: 49 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (1,495 predictions over 11 days).
17–18: 46 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (2,412 predictions over 11 days).
19–20: 36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (123 predictions over 11 days).

1 current notice affects this route

• Stop impacts: Blair Station stop I relocation (UPDATED)

Prediction differences by stop

CITY PARK / AD. 2280
51 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (436 predictions over 20 days).
Open this stop
DEN HAAG / CARWOOD
49 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (464 predictions over 20 days).
Open this stop
DEN HAAG / BOREALIS
49 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (464 predictions over 20 days).
Open this stop
DEN HAAG / MONTRÉAL
48 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (464 predictions over 20 days).
Open this stop

These are route-specific provider predictions compared with the timetable. They identify repeated prediction differences at a place and time, not measured arrivals or their cause.

Check every trip and date

Pàkinan pejig dibaigan ji-wàbandaman endaso-gìzhigad, odàbànag, àpì kàwin gegò gì-ayàsinog, odàbàn ishinikàzowinan, gaye kakina àjindàsowinan.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?: No trips start in the next 4 hoursChecks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.
Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?: 8 of 240 checked trips need a closer look8 of 240 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 0 of 240 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
Àniin gà-ikidong, gaye àniin dibaigan mazina'igan ikido?: At the 95th percentile, the predicted difference was 16.8 min (positive means later; negative means earlier)67 in 100 eligible provider predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable; actual arrivals were not measured here.
What wait did provider predictions imply?: No route-level result meets the evidence threshold yet. This does not mean gaps did not happen.

Ganawaabandan aanjichigewin

Apii-mazina'igan: jibwaa miinawaa ishkwaa

Ow ozhibiigan ijinàgwad noongom, kaye ijinàgwad kayàsh. Ow ozhibiigan ikido kà-inendjigàdeg. Kawin ondji-kikendàgwasinon kidji-ki-majàd odàbàn.

Current published schedule began October 30, 2026

Giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigaadeg endaso-mazina'iganing

Ningii-ganawaabandaamin nitam Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad ishkwaa oshki-mazina'igan gii-maajitaamagak, miinawaa Ishkwaa-anami'e-giizhigad bezhig anami'e-giizhigad jibwaa. Gakina agindaasowinan onjimagadoon GTFS mazina'iganan gaa-ganawendamang, ezhinikaadegin dabazhish.

Bezhig gemaa nawaj giizhigad gaa-onaabanjigeyan, bakaan izhi-bimiwizhiwewag odaabaanag. Ganabaj anami'e-giizhigad gemaa wiikonge-giizhigad. Gaawiin iwe apane izhiwebasinoon.

Jibwà

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: October 26, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 48
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 78
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 4
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: 06:02–19:19

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 1d13d0abb2506002 · 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad

Oshki mazina'igan

Giizhigad gaa-andawaabanjigaadeg: November 2, 2026

Maajaawinan ozhibii'igaadegin: 48
Nibawin kà-ozhibiigàdegin: 78
Miikanan gaa-ozhibii'igaadegin: 4
Àpi odàbànag pimosewaad, ozhibii'igaade: 06:02–19:19

Operator calendar-date records: 0 added · 2 removed

Ozhibii'igan ezhinaagwak: 91dd8e4251604344 · 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945

Nawaj na gii-mino-izhiwebad gaa-ishkwaa-aanjichigaadeg?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 16,300 arrivals over 10 days; after has 6,509 arrivals over 4 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare the last eligible provider prediction for each scheduled arrival with the official schedule. These are not independently measured arrivals. A result needs at least 200 eligible predictions. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

Waabandan aaniin ezhi-inaabadak gaye aaniin ezhi-agindaasong

Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Provisional results, published evidence

How did predictions compare with the timetable?

Each hour compares the last eligible provider prediction for a scheduled arrival with the timetable. “Within 5 minutes” describes that prediction difference, not a measured arrival or proof that a bus ran.

Evidence window: October 6, 2026 to November 3, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule: 67.1%
Eligible predictions checked: 29,259
Weekdays with data: 18
95th-percentile predicted delay: 16.8 min late

Patterns by hour (11)

Patterns by hour (11)
Dibaa'igan	Weweni apii	Median	95th percentile	Gikendaasowinan
06:00	81.6%	1 min late	14.7 min late	1,295 · 11 days
07:00	78.6%	0.7 min late	10.9 min late	2,270 · 11 days
08:00	72.9%	0.1 min late	16.9 min late	2,602 · 11 days
09:00	67.8%	2.6 min late	15.7 min late	2,084 · 11 days
10:00	85.3%	0.6 min late	7.5 min late	407 · 11 days
14:00	97.1%	0 min late	2.8 min late	242 · 11 days
15:00	51.2%	4.8 min late	17 min late	1,495 · 11 days
16:00	50.0%	4.7 min late	26.3 min late	2,536 · 11 days
17:00	53.8%	4.3 min late	22.2 min late	2,412 · 11 days
18:00	70.1%	2.7 min late	16.5 min late	2,331 · 11 days
19:00	64.2%	0.6 min late	18 min late	123 · 11 days

5 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Bus scheduled, gaawiin dash gii-waabandanziimin realtime

232 / 240 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (96.7%).

17:005 / 40 trips without a position87.5%
16:003 / 35 trips without a position91.4%
06:000 / 25 trips without a position100.0%
07:000 / 30 trips without a position100.0%
08:000 / 35 trips without a position100.0%
09:000 / 20 trips without a position100.0%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 4, 2026 November 3, 2026 November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026

November 4, 2026 · 48 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 45 with a matched position · 3 with no matching position (to investigate) · 0 with an unknown outcome.

06:02– 06:36
Trip 23920040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 5:40 a.m. EST / 6:47 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
06:23– 07:00
Trip 18225040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 5:39 a.m. EST / 7:14 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
06:38– 07:17
Trip 33900040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 5:58 a.m. EST / 7:34 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
06:50– 07:25
Trip 10771040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:48 a.m. EST / 7:23 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
06:53– 07:32
Trip 7040040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:53 a.m. EST / 7:45 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:08– 07:47
Trip 17281040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 6:57 a.m. EST / 7:59 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:14– 07:49
Trip 8026040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:16 a.m. EST / 7:52 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:31– 08:09
Trip 32460040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:35 a.m. EST / 8:26 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:36– 08:20
Trip 28389040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:24 a.m. EST / 8:31 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:47– 08:26
Trip 26059040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:46 a.m. EST / 8:31 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
07:51– 08:35
Trip 18651040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 7:42 a.m. EST / 8:47 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.
08:01– 08:39
Trip 34563040Vehicle position matchedFirst / last feed position: 8:00 a.m. EST / 9:19 a.m. EST; not actual start or end times.

· Open all evidence for this day

Draft

This translation is a draft.

Help improve it

About 49% of this site is translated so far. The rest is shown in English.

Read this page in English

This page is a machine draft in Algonquin (Anishinaabemowin), the language of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation. It was prepared without review by its speakers, and is waiting for one. Speakers and the community are invited to correct it. We will replace it with their words. Ottawa is on the unceded territory of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation.

Cette page est une ébauche automatique en algonquin (anishinaabemowin), la langue de la Nation algonquine anishinabe. Elle a été préparée sans révision par ses locuteurs, et attend l’un d’eux. Les locuteurs et la communauté sont invités à la corriger. Nous la remplacerons par leurs mots. Ottawa se trouve sur le territoire non cédé de la Nation algonquine anishinabe (Anishinabe Algonquin Nation).