Citywide answer
Within five minutes
Selected-date calculation
8,215,961 Eligible predictions
- Ohahà: tó: niká:ien
- 149
- Measured days in this window
- 22 / 31Days
Predictions for the selected period
- Within five minutes
- 6,377,211
- Outside five minutes
- 1,838,750
Outside includes early and late predictions. This does not count missed trips or independently measured physical arrivals.
Inspect routes by outside-five-minute record count ↗Routes to inspect
Where route results differ
Every route meeting this report’s sample rule
Every route meeting this report’s sample rule, including routes between the highest and lowest groups. Routes with too little data and other service purposes are listed separately.
Cancellation archive evidence
1,498 · Explicit cancellation notices
How to read this count
Records are deduplicated by operator, service date, trip ID and relationship; one trip can have multiple records (for example, separate CANCELED and DELETED records), and later reinstatements are not represented. Archive coverage is unverified, so this is not a complete period total or a count of unique trips that did not run.
Delivery and vehicle-position evidence
Other evidence for this period
These sources have separate coverage and cannot explain or complete the result above.
- Explicit cancellation notices
- 1,498Scheduled trips marked cancelled without a qualifying later matching vehicle observation in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Archive coverage is unverified; no records is not zero cancellations.
- Frequent service spacing
- 49 ohahà: tó: niká:ienPredicted excess waiting time from matched high-frequency arrival cohorts; this is not actual passenger waiting time.
- Positions without published trip assignment
- 1,068Archived public vehicle positions where no trip was assigned. This does not prove a vehicle was out of service. Distance is a minimum straight-line path between eligible samples.
Comparison withheld · Timetable provenance is missing
2026-09-01–2026-09-30
Comparison evidence and coverage
Matched prediction comparison
This compares eligible final provider predictions against their scheduled times. It does not verify physical arrivals, prove a cause, or establish equivalent service.
Expected service days use archived route calendars and exceptions. Dates without scheduled service are excluded; missing lineage withholds the comparison.
Previous complete calendar month · 2026-09-01–2026-09-30
Common route and weekday weights · prediction-comparison-v2
Current
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
Baseline
Eligible raw rate: —
Matched comparison rate: —
— / — eligible predictions / predictions within the scheduled threshold
Sample counts are withheld; missing values are not zero. Timetable provenance is missing
A matched difference is withheld: Timetable provenance is missing
Per-route coverage · —; Matched route days · not used by this method; Omitted route days · —; Common weights · —
Empty evidence lists have not been assessed for this refused comparison. Timetable provenance is missing
Timetable feed versions: 05854a47-c0dc-4f34-b076-4827f6d196f0, 1ea7c84b-eae6-4787-8aaa-01523b4e6619, 2ce66ec0-4b13-470f-ad5e-045e7bbe5fab, 3932bee1-4577-4968-9a97-2987e88312ad, 44936c9b-7dbb-44c9-8e2c-6051bb87b4da, 54ca76e7-e78f-4623-a135-ab2c87e99d32, 6ee8491d-8f94-4122-a67b-ef228d9e0945, 9aab3e5d-2362-4d44-ab42-b8628a59d804, adf8b6f0-5fb9-4eca-bcb9-68f5235502fc, b6dda873-b797-49b3-a4a6-542fad672eef, ca455c71-c30a-4e4d-8b72-2709212731cd, cdda76b5-d299-4755-bb81-ca8cd4d16647, db43ff4c-ff08-4e90-845b-a8642cd1bcef, dd66f011-17ec-4399-858c-01706b8c5a64, debdbb8c-5a7b-407a-9f7b-52db7d3c7b85, e0f8038a-45e7-4a47-99c2-308c0f049f72, e582db1b-46c9-4756-8b25-9782f02ba21b, ece8fa79-2586-440c-9315-8c39b470256f, edd82b80-107c-4eac-9121-2bff2579fdf8 / —
Sources, coverage and comparisons
Track service days
How the selected calculation changed each day
Akwé:kon: OC Transpo tánon STO · Within five minutes · 30/31 dates with a daily value; 1 date without a value; 9 dates marked as partial capture
Oct 3, 2026 · 240,074 Eligible predictions
Oct 26, 2026 · 312,810 Eligible predictions
- 1Oct 1, 2026: 75.9%; 359,327 Eligible predictions
- Oct 2, 2026: 80.8% · Some operator data excluded; 88,624 Eligible predictions
- Lowest measured. Oct 3, 2026: 69.7%; 240,074 Eligible predictions
- Oct 4, 2026: 76.8%; 203,328 Eligible predictions
- Oct 5, 2026: 83.4% · Some operator data excluded; 276,376 Eligible predictions
- Oct 6, 2026: 77.4%; 360,314 Eligible predictions
- Oct 7, 2026: 76.6%; 360,186 Eligible predictions
- 8Oct 8, 2026: Partial capture, not counted; — Eligible predictions
- Oct 9, 2026: 76.3% · Some operator data excluded; 274,738 Eligible predictions
- Oct 10, 2026: 70.9% · Some operator data excluded; 191,984 Eligible predictions
- Oct 11, 2026: 77.7% · Some operator data excluded; 160,951 Eligible predictions
- Oct 12, 2026: 87.4% · Some operator data excluded; 162,117 Eligible predictions
- Oct 13, 2026: 78.4% · Some operator data excluded; 275,411 Eligible predictions
- Oct 14, 2026: 75.9%; 359,884 Eligible predictions
- 15Oct 15, 2026: 79.5% · Some operator data excluded; 87,582 Eligible predictions
- Oct 16, 2026: 81%; 357,948 Eligible predictions
- Oct 17, 2026: 70.9%; 229,165 Eligible predictions
- Oct 18, 2026: 77.2%; 201,369 Eligible predictions
- Oct 19, 2026: 80%; 351,995 Eligible predictions
- Oct 20, 2026: 76.5%; 350,320 Eligible predictions
- Oct 21, 2026: 76.2%; 319,525 Eligible predictions
- 22Oct 22, 2026: 75.3%; 320,138 Eligible predictions
- Oct 23, 2026: 79.3%; 352,029 Eligible predictions
- Oct 24, 2026: 70.4%; 229,997 Eligible predictions
- Oct 25, 2026: 74.5%; 160,318 Eligible predictions
- Highest measured. Oct 26, 2026: 83.3%; 312,810 Eligible predictions
- Oct 27, 2026: 80.1%; 350,664 Eligible predictions
- Oct 28, 2026: 80.8%; 341,481 Eligible predictions
- 29Oct 29, 2026: 79.6%; 351,555 Eligible predictions
- Oct 30, 2026: 80.3%; 354,049 Eligible predictions
- 31Oct 31, 2026: 72.9%; 231,702 Eligible predictions
Share of eligible settled provider predictions; physical arrivals are not independently measured.
Partial capture: an operator had too few captured records or a recorded timetable mismatch on these dates, so its affected records are excluded. Eligible records from another operator may still contribute to the network result. Check the coverage count separately to see how many days were measured. Oct 2, 2026 (OC Transpo): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 5, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 8, 2026 (OC Transpo): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 8, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 9, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 10, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 11, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 12, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 13, 2026 (STO): recorded timetable mismatch, Oct 15, 2026 (OC Transpo): recorded timetable mismatch
Exact daily values
| Wenhniserá:te | Within five minutes | Eligible predictions |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 ↗ | 75.9% | 359,327 |
| Oct 2, 2026 ↗ | 80.8% · Some operator data excluded | 88,624 |
| Oct 3, 2026 ↗ | 69.7% | 240,074 |
| Oct 4, 2026 ↗ | 76.8% | 203,328 |
| Oct 5, 2026 ↗ | 83.4% · Some operator data excluded | 276,376 |
| Oct 6, 2026 ↗ | 77.4% | 360,314 |
| Oct 7, 2026 ↗ | 76.6% | 360,186 |
| Oct 8, 2026 ↗ | Partial capture, not counted | — |
| Oct 9, 2026 ↗ | 76.3% · Some operator data excluded | 274,738 |
| Oct 10, 2026 ↗ | 70.9% · Some operator data excluded | 191,984 |
| Oct 11, 2026 ↗ | 77.7% · Some operator data excluded | 160,951 |
| Oct 12, 2026 ↗ | 87.4% · Some operator data excluded | 162,117 |
| Oct 13, 2026 ↗ | 78.4% · Some operator data excluded | 275,411 |
| Oct 14, 2026 ↗ | 75.9% | 359,884 |
| Oct 15, 2026 ↗ | 79.5% · Some operator data excluded | 87,582 |
| Oct 16, 2026 ↗ | 81% | 357,948 |
| Oct 17, 2026 ↗ | 70.9% | 229,165 |
| Oct 18, 2026 ↗ | 77.2% | 201,369 |
| Oct 19, 2026 ↗ | 80% | 351,995 |
| Oct 20, 2026 ↗ | 76.5% | 350,320 |
| Oct 21, 2026 ↗ | 76.2% | 319,525 |
| Oct 22, 2026 ↗ | 75.3% | 320,138 |
| Oct 23, 2026 ↗ | 79.3% | 352,029 |
| Oct 24, 2026 ↗ | 70.4% | 229,997 |
| Oct 25, 2026 ↗ | 74.5% | 160,318 |
| Oct 26, 2026 ↗ | 83.3% | 312,810 |
| Oct 27, 2026 ↗ | 80.1% | 350,664 |
| Oct 28, 2026 ↗ | 80.8% | 341,481 |
| Oct 29, 2026 ↗ | 79.6% | 351,555 |
| Oct 30, 2026 ↗ | 80.3% | 354,049 |
| Oct 31, 2026 ↗ | 72.9% | 231,702 |
Sources and interpretation · Days with route records
- Eligible predictions
- 8,215,961
- Ohahà: tó: niká:ien
- 149
- Days with route records
- 22 / 31 days
31 measured
Inspect matched comparison evidence
Manual read of this report’s date and operator, independent of the route-hour chart. Counts are settled provider predictions, not independently observed physical arrivals.