No 49 trips cancelled now · 2 did not run in NovemberCancellations →

Previous measure: 85.1% of arrivals were within five minutes of the timetable (64,037 arrivals over 22 days). The report card below uses the newer one-minute-early to five-minutes-late measure when it has readings.

STO ᐊᖁᑎᖓ 49: Cégep G-Roy/Des Cèdres

ᑐᕌᖓᔪᖅCégep GRoy3 buses · boards at · under each stop: the next bus (live dot = live, grey = sched.)

PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES10 min sched.
FRONT/des ALLUMETTIÈRES13 min sched.
FRONT/de la TERRASSE-EARDLEY14 min sched.
FRONT/PEARSON15 min sched.
FRONT/d'AIGUILLON16 min sched.
FRONT/DERWIN17 min sched.
FRONT/CATHCART18 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/TIBERIUS19 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/JUBILEE19 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/PARKER20 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/BROAD21 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/WASHINGTON21 min sched.
PRINCIPALE/WILFRID-LAVIGNE22 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/du BORDEAUX23 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/de la COLLINE23 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/BELMONT24 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/FRASER25 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/VICTOR-BEAUDRY26 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/MAPLE GROVE27 min sched.
chemin d'AYLMER/HAYDON27 min sched.
VANIER/ARTHUR-GRAVELINE28 min sched.
VANIER/ATTIKAMEKS1 min sched.
VANIER/des ALLUMETTIÈRES3 min sched.
VANIER/de SETO4 min sched.
VANIER/du PLATEAU5 min sched.
du PLATEAU/KATIMAVIK6 min sched.
du PLATEAU/de la BOUSSOLE6 min sched.
du PLATEAU/du MARIGOT7 min sched.
du PLATEAU/des SCOUTS7 min sched.
du PLATEAU/de LIVERPOOL8 min sched.
du PLATEAU/MARGUERITE-MAILLÉ9 min sched.
du PLATEAU/de l'AMÉRIQUE-FRANÇAISE9 min sched.
du PLATEAU/du PRADO10 min sched.
PLATEAU/EUROPE11 min sched.
AGORA11 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/du TROPIQUE12 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de L'ÉTÉ13 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de l'ÉTÉ14 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/des GRIVES15 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/du FIRMAMENT16 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de la GRAVITÉ16 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de l'ÉCLIPSE17 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de la SAPINIÈRE18 min sched.
de l'ATMOSPHÈRE/de l'ASTROLABE19 min sched.
du PLATEAU/de l'ATMOSPHÈRE20 min sched.
du PLATEAU/des CÈDRES20 min sched.
du PLATEAU/SAINT-RAYMOND21 min sched.
SAINT-RAYMOND/du PLATEAU21 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/SAINT-RAYMOND25 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/GAMELIN25 min sched.
LIONEL-ÉMOND/GAMELIN26 min sched.
SAINT-RAYMOND/LIONEL-ÉMOND27 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/SAINT-RAYMOND28 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/BÉDARD29 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES0 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/THÉRIEN1 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/PERRAS2 min sched.
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/PERRAS2 min sched.
CEGEP GABRIELLE-ROY/arrivée3 min sched.

Scheduled service and available evidence

Did the scheduled service run?

Open dated evidence

Evidence period: Oct 28, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

Scheduled trips with cancellation notices

Trips in the published timetable marked cancelled without qualifying later matching vehicle observations in our archive. This does not prove the trip did not operate. Trips with any notice: 1.

Trips needing investigation

3 of 365 trips with a usable feed window (0.8%) had no matching position.

These counts may overlap; do not add them. A missing position confirms neither cancellation nor a no-show.

362 with position · 3 to investigate · 63 excluded · 428 scheduled trips

Current feed. No explicit notice for this route in the current feed; this does not guarantee service. Observed: Nov 4, 2026, 2:13 p.m..

Coverage, exclusions and sources

0 of 12 endpoint departures scheduled in the next four hours carried an explicit cancellation at the last check.

63 scheduled trips were excluded from the position check for feed or identity gaps.

Published position coverage: 362 / 428 (84.6%). This is not a delivered-service rate. 7 service days in this source.

Timetables retained before the service day: 7 / 7 requested days · 0 missing days.

Historical calculation: Nov 4, 2026, 12:48 p.m.

Method: explicit provider notices, archived trip windows and retained timetables. Predictions and positions alone do not prove that a bus ran or was missed.

What does the evidence show?

Predictions against the timetable

85.1%

of eligible provider predictions were within five minutes of the timetable.

Predictions in the source: 64,037
Weekdays with evidence: 17
Evidence window: Oct 6, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

The hours we have evidence for

0064% · 684 predictions · 8 days
0175% · 77 predictions · 7 days
0587% · 76 predictions · 7 days
0693% · 958 predictions · 7 days
0787% · 2,639 predictions · 9 days
0880% · 1,802 predictions · 10 days
0985% · 2,079 predictions · 11 days
1095% · 1,935 predictions · 11 days
1192% · 2,106 predictions · 12 days
1286% · 2,224 predictions · 12 days
1378% · 2,206 predictions · 12 days
1489% · 2,019 predictions · 13 days
1582% · 2,713 predictions · 12 days
1683% · 1,968 predictions · 13 days
1783% · 2,175 predictions · 12 days
1877% · 1,918 predictions · 11 days
1982% · 1,303 predictions · 11 days
2080% · 1,053 predictions · 10 days
2191% · 970 predictions · 10 days
2288% · 1,142 predictions · 10 days
2392% · 1,097 predictions · 10 days

Share of predictions within five minutes of the timetable. Only eligible hours are shown; an absent hour does not mean zero.

These are provider predictions, not independently measured arrivals. Missing evidence is not counted as on-time service.

Calculated: Nov 4, 2026

6 partial-capture days not counted.

What about time of day?

21 hourly cohorts meet the thresholds of 30 predictions and 5 service days. Hourly thresholds are assessed separately from the route-wide aggregate.

Improvement or decline requires comparable periods. This single result cannot establish a trend.

Explore the dated evidence Source of this result

Buses arriving bunched

Last 28 days, October 7, 2026 to November 3, 2026: 21 days counted.

2 days left out because the live feed was only partly recorded or its trip numbers did not match the timetable: October 8, 2026, October 12, 2026.

Values and interpretation

2% of back-to-back buses on this route arrived bunched together: 543 of 29,570 pairs checked at stops in the last 28 days. When buses bunch, the wait after them is usually longer.

1% of pairs (397) had a long gap: more than 1.75 times the planned wait between them.

Buses arriving bunched
ᐅᓪᓗᒥ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᖅ	Pairs checked	Bunched	Long gap
Morning rush (6 to 9 a.m.)	5,628	9% (524)	7% (379)
Midday (9 a.m. to 3 p.m.)	13,098	0% (9)	0% (11)
Afternoon rush (3 to 6 p.m.)	8,180	0% (5)	0% (7)
Evening (6 to 10 p.m.)	2,664	0% (5)	0% (0)

ᖃᓄᖅ ᐅᒃᑐᖅᑕᐅᒻᒪᖔᑦ →How we got this numberBunching and slow spots on every route →

Where this route is slowest

Slowest: CEGEP GABRIELLE-ROY to de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/PERRAS, 4.4 km/h actual against 24.5 km/h planned.

Where this route is slowest
ᐱᒋᐊᕐᕕᒃ	ᑐᕌᕐᕕᒃ	ᐅᖓᓯᒋᓂᖓ	Planned speed	Actual speed	Trips measured	Slow trips
CEGEP GABRIELLE-ROY	de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/PERRAS	410 m	24.5 km/h	4.4 km/h	287	76%
PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES	FRONT/de la TERRASSE-EARDLEY	1 km	16.6 km/h	6.4 km/h	371	69%
du PLATEAU/du MARIGOT	VANIER/ATTIKAMEKS	1.1 km	9.8 km/h	11 km/h	472	3%
de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/BÉDARD	LIONEL-ÉMOND/SAINT-RAYMOND	560 m	8.4 km/h	12.1 km/h	471	1%
LIONEL-ÉMOND/GAMELIN	de la CITÉ-DES-JEUNES/BÉDARD	740 m	12.4 km/h	12.4 km/h	520	9%
VANIER/ATTIKAMEKS	VANIER/du PLATEAU	830 m	11.4 km/h	15.3 km/h	541	1%
FRONT/CORMIER	PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES arrêt d'arrivée	1.3 km	16.4 km/h	17.2 km/h	418	4%
chemin d'AYLMER/GRIMES	PRINCIPALE/du BORDEAUX	1.4 km	15.6 km/h	17.2 km/h	482	3%

A slow trip took at least 1.5 times the planned time.

ᖃᓄᖅ ᐅᒃᑐᖅᑕᐅᒻᒪᖔᑦ →

Cancellations on this route

What these words mean →

6 partial-capture days not counted.

1 scheduled trips with counted cancellation notices from Wed, Oct 7 to Tue, Nov 3.

Not counted: 0 trips with qualifying later matching vehicle observations and 0 for trips not in that day’s timetable.

Hours with the most cancellations: 6 p.m. (1)

Latest cancelled trips

Tue, Nov 3, scheduled 18:05

A cause is shown only when STO’s own alert for that trip gives one.

Did not come (no bus seen, no notice), last 7 days: 2 of 365 trips we could check.

When this route is usually busy

From the load level STO’s buses report, over the last eight weeks. A time is marked usually busy when at least half of the trips with a reading reached standing room or fuller.

No time of day was usually busy in the last eight weeks.

When this route is usually busy	ᐱᓇᓱᐊᕈᓰᑦ	ᓈᑦᓰᓈᕐᕕᒃᑯᑦ	ᓈᑦᑏᖑᔭᕐᓂ
Before 6 am	Usually seats0% of 31 trips	Not enough readings	Not enough readings
6 to 9 am	Usually seats22.6% of 645 trips	Usually seats0% of 41 trips	Usually seats0% of 37 trips
9 am to 3 pm	Usually seats18.5% of 978 trips	Usually seats1% of 100 trips	Usually seats0% of 90 trips
3 to 6 pm	Usually seats39.7% of 584 trips	Usually seats8.8% of 57 trips	Usually seats1.7% of 59 trips
6 to 10 pm	Usually seats8.6% of 418 trips	Usually seats6.3% of 80 trips	Usually seats0% of 70 trips
After 10 pm	Usually seats0% of 226 trips	Usually seats0% of 38 trips	Usually seats0% of 31 trips

Based on 56 computed days.

Source: the occupancy status in STO’s public real-time vehicle feed, which STO sets from each bus’s load sensor (seats available under 60% full, standing room under 90%, full above 90%).
Each trip counts once per time of day, at the highest load it reported.
Reports of an empty bus are left out, because older records could not tell an empty bus from one with no sensor.
A time of day needs at least 12 trips on at least 4 different days before anything is shown. Holidays are counted with their day of the week.

Open the dated prediction analysis

ᐃᓱᓕᑦᑎᓂᖅ

What this route needs

Median provider predictions are 3.7 min later than the timetable in 1 hours of the day.

00:00 has 64% of predictions within five minutes of the timetable, against 85% the rest of the day.

Final provider predictions within five minutes of the timetable, by hour, last 14 days, 21 hours with samples

00:00: 64.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 684 predictions, typically 2.9 min late
01:00: 75.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 77 predictions, typically 3.7 min late
02:00: not enough data
03:00: not enough data
04:00: not enough data
05:00: 86.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 76 predictions, typically 2.3 min late
06:00: 93% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 958 predictions, typically 0.3 min late
07:00: 86.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,639 predictions, typically 1.5 min late
08:00: 79.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,802 predictions, typically 1.6 min late
09:00: 85.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,079 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
10:00: 95% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,935 predictions, typically 1 min late
11:00: 92.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,106 predictions, typically 0.8 min late
12:00: 86.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,224 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
13:00: 77.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,206 predictions, typically 1.9 min late
14:00: 89.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,019 predictions, typically 1.4 min late
15:00: 81.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,713 predictions, typically 1.1 min late
16:00: 82.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,968 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
17:00: 82.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,175 predictions, typically 2 min late
18:00: 77% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,918 predictions, typically 2.7 min late
19:00: 81.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,303 predictions, typically 1.5 min late
20:00: 80.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,053 predictions, typically 2.1 min late
21:00: 90.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 970 predictions, typically 1.6 min late
22:00: 88.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,142 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
23:00: 91.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,097 predictions, typically 1.1 min late

90% or more of predictions within five minutes
80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
under 80% of predictions within five minutes
not enough data

Findings
What	ᖃᖓ	ᐅᑦᑐᕋᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ	Scenario or next investigation
ProblemPredictions later than timetable	01:00	3.7 min late	More running time
ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match	00:00	64%	Overnight operations

Measurements

Predictions later than timetable · 01:00: Measured arrivals 77; Hours affected 1; Spread 2.5 min; Median delay 3.7 min; Suggested running time change 3.7 min
One hour has a lower prediction match · 00:00: ᐃᑲᕐᕋᖅ 00:00; ᐱᕕᒃᓴᖓᓂ 64.3%; Measured arrivals 684; Shortfall 20.8 pts; Route median on time 85.1%

Open history, reliability and route analysis

Route check

How route 49 has been running

A short summary of what we know. We say so when we cannot answer a question.

Bottom line

Provider predictions were usually close to schedule, but check the problem times below.

85 in 100 eligible predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable · 64,037 predictions checked

Prediction sample size: Larger sample

Based on 64,037 eligible provider predictions over 22 measured days, from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 1:32 p.m.

Where and when did predictions differ repeatedly?

These are repeated prediction-to-timetable differences, not independently measured service failures. They use the same eligible predictions as the result above, but group by stop rather than hour, so the lists need not match line for line.

00–01: 36 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (684 predictions over 8 days).

No current official notice matches this route.

Prediction differences by stop

CEGEP GABRIELLE-ROY
59 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (551 predictions over 24 days).
Open this stop
PARC-O-BUS ALLUMETTIÈRES
56 in 100 eligible predictions differed from the timetable by more than 5 minutes (513 predictions over 24 days).
Open this stop

These are route-specific provider predictions compared with the timetable. They identify repeated prediction differences at a place and time, not measured arrivals or their cause.

Check every trip and date

Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?: 0 of 12Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.
Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?: 3 of 365 checked trips need a closer look3 of 365 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 63 of 428 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.
How did provider predictions differ from the timetable?: At the 95th percentile, the predicted difference was 7.8 min (positive means later; negative means earlier)85 in 100 eligible provider predictions were within 5 minutes of the timetable; actual arrivals were not measured here.
What wait did provider predictions imply?: Average predicted extra wait was under 30 seconds at the sampled stop0.1 min beyond the scheduled wait, based on 3,261 eligible predictions at 46 high-frequency stops over 11 days.

ᐊᐅᓪᓚᖅᑕᕐᕕᐅᓂᖏᑦ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᕐᓂᖏᓐᓂᒃ ᕿᒥᕐᕈᓂᖅ

ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᖏᑦ ᐅᓪᓗᖏᑦ: ᓯᕗᓂᐊᓂ ᑭᖑᓂᐊᓂᓗ

ᐅᓇ ᒫᓐᓇ ᐊᐅᓚᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ ᓇᓪᓕᐅᓇᐃᓪᓗᒍ ᓯᕗᓪᓕᐅᔪᒧᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒧᑦ. ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒥ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᕐᓂᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᓯᒪᔪᓂᒃ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᔪᑦ. ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᖅ ᐊᐅᓚᓚᐅᕐᓂᖓᓂᒃ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᖏᑦᑐᑦ.

Current published schedule began November 2, 2026

ᐅᓪᓗᖅ ᓂᕈᐊᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᐊᑐᓂ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᓂᓪᓗ ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᓂᑦ

ᑕᑯᓐᓇᕈᑦᑕᖅᐳᒍᑦ ᓯᕗᓪᓕᖅᐹᖅ ᓇᒡᒐᔾᔭᐅ ᓄᑖᑦ ᐊᐅᓚᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᑦ ᐱᒋᐊᓚᐅᖅᑎᓪᓗᒋᑦ. ᐊᒻᒪ ᓇᒡᒐᔾᔭᐅ ᐱᓇᓱᐊᕈᓯᕐᒥᒃ ᓯᕗᓂᐊᒍᑦ. ᓈᓴᐅᑎᑦ ᑕᒪᕐᒥᒃ ᐱᔭᐅᔪᑦ ᐱᑕᖃᕐᓂᐊᖅᑐᓂᑦ ᒐᕙᒪᐅᑉ GTFS ᑐᓴᒐᒃᓴᖏᓐᓂᑦ. ᐊᑎᖏᑦ ᐊᑖᓂ ᐃᓗᓕᖃᖅᑐᑦ.

ᐅᓪᓗᑦ ᓂᕈᐊᖅᓯᒪᔭᑎᑦ ᐊᑕᐅᓯᖅ ᐅᖓᑖᓄᓪᓗ ᐊᐅᓚᓂᖓ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᖅᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᖅ. ᐅᓇ ᖁᕕᐊᓱᐊᕐᕕᐅᓂᖓᓄᑦ ᐅᕝᕙᓘᓐᓃᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᐅᙱᑦᑐᒥᒃ ᐊᐅᓚᓂᖃᕐᓂᖓᓄᑦ ᐱᔾᔪᑎᖃᖅᑐᖅ. ᐱᓇᓱᐊᕐᕕᐅᔪᓂ ᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐊᐅᓚᓂᖓ ᐅᒃᓱᓂᖓᓂᒃ ᑐᑭᖃᙱᑦᑐᖅ.

ᓯᕗᓂᐊᓂ

ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕋᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᓪᓗᖓ ᕿᒥᕐᕈᐊᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ: October 26, 2026

ᐸᕐᓇᒃᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᐅᔪᑦ: 0
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᓄᖃᖅᑕᕝᕕᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒥ: 0
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᖁᑎᑦ ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ: 0
ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕋᖅᑐᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᖏᑦ, ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ: —–—

ᑐᓴᒐᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᒋᐊᕈᑎᖓ: 7692f9a7012f44e6 · 68840ddf-afaa-4cf4-9656-22afc030f92f

ᓄᑖᖅ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᕐᒧᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎ

ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕋᐅᑎᐅᑉ ᐅᓪᓗᖓ ᕿᒥᕐᕈᐊᖅᑕᐅᔪᖅ: November 2, 2026

ᐸᕐᓇᒃᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐃᖏᕐᕋᓂᐅᔪᑦ: 72
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᓄᖃᖅᑕᕝᕕᑦ ᐸᕐᓇᐅᑎᒥ: 118
ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᑦᑐᑦ ᐊᖁᑎᑦ ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ: 3
ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕋᖅᑐᑦ ᐃᑲᕐᕋᖏᑦ, ᓴᖅᑭᑕᐅᓯᒪᔪᑦ: 05:50–01:07 next day

Operator calendar-date records: 1 added · 0 removed

ᑐᓴᒐᒃᓴᐃᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᒋᐊᕈᑎᖓ: 540f8e4e98d50320 · 7a8023af-fdc6-4276-bed6-2e3d7bd7bb74

ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕋᐅᑎᑦ ᐱᐅᓯᕚᓕᓚᐅᖅᐸᑦ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᕐᓂᐅᑉ ᑭᖑᓂᐊᒍᑦ?

ᑎᑭᓐᓂᖏᑦ ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᒪᔪᑦ ᐊᔾᔨᒌᙱᓐᓂᖏᑦ ᖃᐅᔨᓴᕐᓂᐊᖅᐸᕗᑦ. 14 ᐅᓪᓗᓂ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᕐᓂᖓᑕ ᓯᕗᓂᖓᓂ ᑭᖑᓂᖓᓂᓗ. ᓴᖅᑭᑎᑦᑎᓂᐊᖅᐳᒍᑦ ᒪᕐᕉᒃ ᐱᑕᖃᓕᕋᐃᒐᒃ ᐱᔨᑦᑎᕐᕕᐅᔪᓂᒃ ᐅᓪᓗᓂᒃ 7 ᐅᖓᑖᓄᓪᓗ, ᑎᑭᓐᓂᕐᓂᓪᓗ 200 ᐅᖓᑖᓄᓪᓗ.

Still collecting: before has 35,741 arrivals over 13 days; after has 4,546 arrivals over 2 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare the last eligible provider prediction for each scheduled arrival with the official schedule. These are not independently measured arrivals. A result needs at least 200 eligible predictions. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

See the definitions, thresholds and evidence order

Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Provisional results, published evidence

How did predictions compare with the timetable?

Each hour compares the last eligible provider prediction for a scheduled arrival with the timetable. “Within 5 minutes” describes that prediction difference, not a measured arrival or proof that a bus ran.

Evidence window: October 6, 2026 to November 3, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule: 85.1%
Eligible predictions checked: 64,037
Weekdays with data: 17
95th-percentile predicted delay: 7.8 min late

Patterns by hour (21)

Patterns by hour (21)
ᐃᑲᕐᕋᖅ	ᐱᕕᒃᓴᖓᓂ	Median	95th percentile	ᓇᓗᓇᐃᖅᓯᔾᔪᑎᑦ
00:00	64.3%	2.9 min late	8.7 min late	684 · 8 days
01:00	75.3%	3.7 min late	6.2 min late	77 · 7 days
05:00	86.8%	2.3 min late	7.2 min late	76 · 7 days
06:00	93.0%	0.3 min late	5.3 min late	958 · 7 days
07:00	86.6%	1.5 min late	7.7 min late	2,639 · 9 days
08:00	79.7%	1.6 min late	13.8 min late	1,802 · 10 days
09:00	85.1%	1.3 min late	7.5 min late	2,079 · 11 days
10:00	95.0%	1 min late	4.7 min late	1,935 · 11 days
11:00	92.4%	0.8 min late	5.8 min late	2,106 · 12 days
12:00	86.4%	0.6 min late	7.3 min late	2,224 · 12 days
13:00	77.9%	1.9 min late	7.3 min late	2,206 · 12 days
14:00	89.3%	1.4 min late	5.9 min late	2,019 · 13 days
15:00	81.5%	1.1 min late	8.4 min late	2,713 · 12 days
16:00	82.6%	0.7 min late	10 min late	1,968 · 13 days
17:00	82.9%	2 min late	7.3 min late	2,175 · 12 days
18:00	77.0%	2.7 min late	8.7 min late	1,918 · 11 days
19:00	81.6%	1.5 min late	7.8 min late	1,303 · 11 days
20:00	80.3%	2.1 min late	7.7 min late	1,053 · 10 days
21:00	90.5%	1.6 min late	8.3 min late	970 · 10 days
22:00	88.3%	1.3 min late	7.8 min late	1,142 · 10 days
23:00	91.6%	1.1 min late	5.7 min late	1,097 · 10 days

1 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Scheduled bus, but not observed in realtime

362 / 428 scheduled trips published at least one position across 5 service days (84.6%).

21:006 / 14 trips without a position57.1%
06:0014 / 35 trips without a position60.0%
07:0016 / 44 trips without a position63.6%
20:004 / 14 trips without a position71.4%
22:004 / 14 trips without a position71.4%
23:004 / 14 trips without a position71.4%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Prediction check: the last eligible provider prediction no earlier than ten minutes before the scheduled arrival, counted once per trip, stop and scheduled Toronto calendar date. It is compared with the timetable, not an independently measured arrival. Trip-position check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

Dated service

Trips scheduled that day

The timetable, notices and what the live feed says are shown apart. Seeing a bus on the map does not prove you can board it.

Service day

November 3, 2026 November 2, 2026 November 1, 2026 October 31, 2026 October 30, 2026 October 29, 2026 October 28, 2026

November 3, 2026 · 72 trips in the retained timetable · retained notices; capture coverage unverified

In short: 52 with a matched position · 2 with no matching position (to investigate) · 18 with an unknown outcome.

05:50– 06:49
Trip sto:63294682Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:17– 07:11
Trip sto:63295759Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:35– 07:36
Trip sto:63294842Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:43– 07:29
Trip sto:63295509Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:46– 07:32
Trip sto:63296192Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:48– 07:46
Trip sto:63296196Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:50– 07:36
Trip sto:63294856Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
06:56– 07:43
Trip sto:63296191Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:01– 07:51
Trip sto:63296195Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:05– 08:07
Trip sto:63295665Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:05– 07:55
Trip sto:63296194Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown
07:10– 08:00
Trip sto:63296193Insufficient coverage or identity; outcome unknown

· Open all evidence for this day

ᑐᕌᕝᑦ

ᑖᓐᓇ ᐅᖃᐅᓯᒧᑦ ᐊᓯᔾᔨᖅᓯᒪᔪᖅ ᑐᕌᕝᑦᐅᕗᖅ.

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This page is a machine draft in Inuktitut (ᐃᓄᒃᑎᑐᑦ), the language of the Inuit. It was prepared without review by its speakers, and is waiting for one. Speakers and the community are invited to correct it. We will replace it with their words. Ottawa is on the unceded territory of the Anishinabe Algonquin Nation.

Cette page est une ébauche automatique en inuktitut (ᐃᓄᒃᑎᑐᑦ), la langue des Inuits. Elle a été préparée sans révision par ses locuteurs, et attend l’un d’eux. Les locuteurs et la communauté sont invités à la corriger. Nous la remplacerons par leurs mots. Ottawa se trouve sur le territoire non cédé de la Nation algonquine anishinabe (Anishinabe Algonquin Nation).