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Ward 20 · Ottawa · Councillor: Isabelle Skalski

Osgoode

Osgoode: prediction accuracy is not published for this ward yet.

Within five minutes
Not available yet
Stops in the ward
104
Routes serving it
6
Cancelled trips
Not available yet
Not counted per ward yet

Where it is slowest

  • 80% and up 1
  • 60 to 80% 1
  • Under 60% 0
  • Too little data 3

Routes serving the ward, by their share of predictions within five minutes. Each route result covers the whole route.

Routes in this ward

Routes in this ward, least reliable first
OháhaWithin 5 minCancelledAkwé:kon ronnónhstats
11071.6%Iah tekahiá:tonteIah tekahiá:tonte
10588.2%Iah tekahiá:tonteIah tekahiá:tonte

Cancellations and crowding are not published per route yet. 3 routes with too little data or a different service purpose are left out.

All routes and their sources

One-page brief

A printable summary of this ward for council and community meetings, with the same numbers, the method in plain words and dated sources.

What can be verified in Osgoode?

Arrival predictions, the imported timetable and train notices. Each is shown with its own source.

Provider prediction agreement

Not available yet

96 eligible settled provider predictions are available at stops inside this ward across 20 weekdays with feed evidence. A percentage remains unavailable until the evidence reaches 500 eligible predictions and 20 such weekdays.

How this compares
Not ranked yet

Service, per the imported timetable

Scheduled trips at ward stops
Not available yet
Ohahà:
5
Ne train lines
1

Kà:sere ó:nen kèn:'en

The live buses inside this boundary are on the Map tab.

Prediction measure, timetable inventory and methods

Service delivery · evidence state

Oct 28, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

Cancellations at stops in this ward

Not publishable

No zero or missed trip is inferred when exact stop calls cannot be published.

Predictions at stops inside the ward

96 eligible final provider predictions across 20 weekdays. The local percentage is withheld until its publication threshold is met.

Predictions do not prove physical arrival.

Routes to inspect

Oct 28, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

If available, these are route-wide vehicle-position matches for routes serving the ward. They do not locate a missed trip inside this ward or prove a cancellation. Each comparison uses scheduled trips for that same route and window.

Scheduled calls, sources and limits

6 routes · 104 stops. Timetable inventory, not trips delivered.

Cancellations at stops in this ward

Local count unavailable

The exact stop-call lookup did not finish within this page’s time budget. No zero, cancellation, or missed call is inferred.

Ka' nikarihò:ten

What would fix transit here

Worked out from the routes that serve this ward. Each item names the route, when it happens, and what would change it.

1 of 2 show repeated provider predictions later than the timetable, consistent with a possible scheduled running-time shortfall. A scheduler should test that scenario against operations; labour, fleet, recovery and transfer impacts are not established here.

Worst here: route 110, predictions later than timetable 15:00 to 18:00, 3.8 min late.

2 of 2 routes here had something measurable to report.

Arrivals within five minutes, by hour of day, across the 2 routes graded here, last 14 days
  1. 00:00: 87.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,697 predictions, typically 1 min late
  2. 01:00: 90.3% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,608 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
  3. 02:00: 92.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,402 predictions, typically 0.7 min late
  4. 03:00: 89.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,418 predictions, typically 0.3 min late
  5. 04:00: 87% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,117 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
  6. 05:00: 79.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 4,926 predictions, typically 1.5 min late
  7. 06:00: 85.7% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,399 predictions, typically 0.8 min late
  8. 07:00: 83.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,938 predictions, typically 1.1 min late
  9. 08:00: 75.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,161 predictions, typically 1.5 min late
  10. 09:00: 77.9% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,349 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
  11. 10:00: 82.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,200 predictions, typically 0.6 min late
  12. 11:00: 74.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,017 predictions, typically 1.4 min late
  13. 12:00: 75.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,153 predictions, typically 1.4 min late
  14. 13:00: 78.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,218 predictions, typically 1.9 min late
  15. 14:00: 79.4% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 4,832 predictions, typically 0.9 min late
  16. 15:00: 70.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 4,551 predictions, typically 2.8 min late
  17. 16:00: 64.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 4,937 predictions, typically 3 min late
  18. 17:00: 60% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,752 predictions, typically 2.8 min late
  19. 18:00: 67.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,913 predictions, typically 2.3 min late
  20. 19:00: 84.6% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 5,739 predictions, typically 1.1 min late
  21. 20:00: 82.2% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 4,838 predictions, typically 1.3 min late
  22. 21:00: 85.1% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 2,287 predictions, typically 0 min late
  23. 22:00: 92.8% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,381 predictions, typically 0.8 min late
  24. 23:00: 90.5% of final predictions within five minutes of the timetable, 1,322 predictions, typically 1 min late
  • 90% or more of predictions within five minutes
  • 80 to 90% of predictions within five minutes
  • under 80% of predictions within five minutes
  • not enough data
Findings
WhatÓ:nenTewaterièn:tareScenario or next investigation
ProblemPredictions later than timetable1101 routes15:00 to 18:003.8 min lateMore running time
ProblemWide prediction spread1051 routes17:0025.1 min swingOperations, not the timetable
ProblemPredictions earlier than timetable1101 routes21:001.6 min earlyLess running time, or holding points
ProblemOne hour has a lower prediction match1051 routes17:0068%Operations, not the timetable
CaveatCoverage gap1051102 routesAll measured hours97% · 99%More observation, not a service change

O-Train evidence

What we know about train service here

Open the train observation report

Trains are not in the public data feed

The bus punctuality reports compare archived arrival predictions with published schedules. They do not count independently measured physical arrivals. Otranspo has no comparable public train-position dataset for these reports, so those bus figures cannot show where a train is or whether Lines 1, 2 and 4 run on time.

Publishing train positions, their timestamps, and the measurement method would help build a separate, verifiable record of rail service. The missing dataset does not establish how the trains performed.

Recent shared train observations

These are rider sightings approved by a moderator. They show a reported time and place. They are not official train positions, a complete train count, or proof of a cause.

No approved rider observation matches this place or line in the last 31 days. That does not mean no train ran or no problem occurred.

How OSGOODE is doing

These indicators separate repeated delay from changes in the operator's arrival predictions. They suggest questions for planners and operations staff. They do not show the cause. They do not prove when buses arrived. Each figure shows its route-hour sample.

Measured over 42 route-hours. 0 more were observed too thinly to count, and are excluded rather than assumed good.

Scheduling

Repeated late predictions can point to a timetable worth reviewing. Check actual arrival and dispatch records before deciding whether running time needs to change.

Who can fix it
A service planner
What it costs
Iah tewaterièn:tare tó: nikaná:ien tsi niió:re ahontkáhtho ne ká'sere, ne raotiio'te tánon ne ò:ia.

Tsi ní:ioht kahiatónhsera tánon tsi nihawen:'en iah teiotsén:ion

90.5%

Route-hours: median arrival prediction iáh énska minute early, iáh áhsen minutes late.

Route-hours with repeated late predictions

3of 42

Route-hours where the median eligible arrival prediction is at least three minutes late. Review running time against actual operating records.

Route hours with early predictions

1of 42

Route-hours where the median eligible arrival prediction is at least one minute early. This does not show that buses left early.

Typical predicted delay

3.8min

The typical median predicted delay in flagged route-hours. It is not a validated amount to add to the timetable.

Operations

Iah skátne tewaterièn:tare tsi nahò:ten tó: nikahá:wi ne ká'sere ienkahá:wi. Ensewatkáhtho tsi niiorihò:ten. Ne ká'sere tsi niiohà:te, ne ronterihwakhéhtha, ne ahontá:wen tánon ne tsi kahiatónhsera tsi nikahá:wi iaonteweien'tà:'on. Iah ne ne'ne tsi ienkahá:wi ne tsi ahontaterièn:tara'ne tsi nahò:ten ne rorihwatsíhston.

Who can fix it
Ne ronterihwaién:tas, ó:ni oháha
What it costs
Cost unavailable until the operational cause and remedy are established.

Prediction gap below twenty minutes

97.6%

Ne tsi niiohà:te tánon ne ora'shòn:'a tsi nahò:ten ne 95-percentile ne tsi ienkahá:wi ne ká'sere iah tewáhsen minits tsi nikaié:rite tsi nà:'a ne median.

Route-hours with wide prediction gaps

1of 42

Route-hours where the 95th-percentile eligible prediction is at least twenty minutes later than the median. The cause needs investigation.

Typical prediction gap

25.1min

The usual gap between the 95th-percentile prediction and the median in flagged route-hours.

Service, per the imported timetable

Scheduled transit, provider prediction agreement with the timetable, and public services in this ward.

Provider-prediction measurenot publishedprovider prediction within five minutes of the timetable

Provider prediction agreement

96 eligible settled provider predictions are available at stops inside this ward across 20 weekdays with feed evidence. A percentage remains unavailable until the evidence reaches 500 eligible predictions and 20 such weekdays.

2 partial-capture days not counted.

Predictions within five minutes
65
Eligible trip-stop predictions
96
Observed days
20 weekdays

Which routes need closer review

2 of the 5 routes serving this ward have enough provider-prediction evidence to compare. Lowest timetable agreement first.

  1. 110Open route
    71.6%Predictions within five minutes

    113,377 eligible predictions across the whole route

  2. 105Open route
    88.2%Predictions within five minutes

    67,367 eligible predictions across the whole route

3 more routes here are not ranked: school, express, shopper or event service, whose schedule result does not compare the same way.

Vehicle visibility to investigate

Vehicle visibility to investigate

The current summary uses seven days. For every route, you can also open yesterday, the last 7 days, or the last 30 days and inspect the day, scheduled trip, excluded feed gaps, and every observed public vehicle ID. An absence does not prove a vehicle fault or operator decision.

Vehicle visibility to investigate
OháhaSchedule tripsWith a positionWithout a matched positionCoverageOriwà:ke
1056826622097.1%
2995049198.0%
110346341598.6%
22230300100.0%
304220100.0%

Routes serving the ward

6 scheduled routes

Map & current service

Current service inside this boundary

Scheduled lines, stops, and observed buses share one map. Select a route or vehicle for details.

Evidence & sources

Imported municipal polygon · 95 boundary vertices · City of Ottawa ward boundaries · imported Aug 4, 2026

━ 5 bus routes═ 1 train lines● 104 stops
Loading live feed

Public amenity record for this ward

Public washrooms and drinking water

Choose a category to check which location details are available.
Public washrooms (City data) 13

The public ward snapshot publishes the count but not the individual locations for this ward. No locations are being invented.

Drinking water (City data) 3

The public ward snapshot publishes the count but not the individual locations for this ward. No locations are being invented.

Rate or report an issue

Rider evidence

Community reports

Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.

You can report without signing in. Anonymous reports count a little less when we calculate public patterns. You can add an account after submitting.

Report a specific problem

Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.

Civic evidence brief

The identity, boundary, contacts, service scope and evidence dates behind this ward report, kept together so the page can be cited without losing its qualifications.

Municipality
City of Ottawa, Ontario
Geographic unit
Official City of Ottawa municipal ward 20: OSGOODE
Boundary and vintage
City ward layer · effective not published · imported August 4, 2026
Official civic contacts
  • Isabelle Skalski · Councillor · source check is older than the publication threshold · source checked August 4, 2026 · official City contact source
  • Mark Sutcliffe · Rakowá:nen · source check is older than the publication threshold · source checked August 4, 2026 · official City contact source
Relevant scheduled service
6 public route records with a stop inside this boundary · operators: OC Transpo
Transit evidence vintage
Timetable import: not published · reliability window: Oct 3, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026

A ward boundary, route inventory, destination list, population count or employment count supplies civic context. None of those values alone measures passenger demand, household trip effects, transfers or daily attendance.

Ottawa wards are municipal wards. They are not Gatineau electoral districts, and results from the two boundary systems are not interchangeable.

Evidence behind this pageOpen the definition, method, sources, dates, coverage, and known limits.

What is being shown

A ward-level inventory of scheduled transit, public washrooms, drinking-water locations, and eligible final OC Transpo provider predictions at stops inside the ward.

How it was produced

Current imported records are assigned by point-in-polygon to the sourced ward boundary. Reliability uses one eligible final provider prediction per trip, stop, and service date in the latest 28 completed service days. Within five minutes is measured against the timetable, not a physical arrival. Publication requires 20 weekdays with prediction evidence and 500 eligible predictions.

Evidence dates

Imported
Computed or assembled
Kén:k nikón
96 eligible settled provider predictions across 20 weekdays with prediction evidence support the reliability result.
Method or data version
ward-counts-v1 + ward-stop-settled-arrivals-purpose-aware-v3
Source checksum
ward-reliability:c886ae1730930928316443781958d2066ba5d75f8169437ae4bf1f2125a83219

Tsi nón: ionkwaién:ta'

Limits to keep in mind

  • Counts describe the published inventory inside the boundary, not service quality or access from every address.
  • Reliability covers final OC Transpo provider predictions at geographically assigned stops; physical arrivals are not independently measured. Rail and trips without eligible prediction evidence are not represented.
  • An unavailable count remains unavailable. It is not changed to zero.
Suggest a factual correction
Tsi ní:ioht tsi iakwaié:ren

For each trip, stop and service date at stops inside the ward, we keep the last eligible OC Transpo prediction and compare it with the timetable. It counts as within five minutes when the two are no more than five minutes apart. This is not a physical arrival.

The window is the latest 28 completed service days. A result is published only with 20 weekdays of prediction evidence and 500 eligible predictions. Route results cover each whole route, not only the part inside the ward.

Read the full method

Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – City of Ottawa.